gambling is a 0 sum game, so is predicting where the market will be 1 year from now
but you seem to have a crystal ball, or seem to think that bear markets don't exist? i can't argue with a fortuneteller or a madman
can't compare japan to US since they are very dependent on a weak dollar for economic growth, but the only recession they had since zirp was 07-09 and they hiked rates from 0-1% leading up to it
name one recession in the last 75 years that happened during ZIRP or a similar rates environment
this is a period of stagnation; recessions happen when credit becomes harder to obtain