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  1. M

    After November 2010, trading of futures, stocks and FX will no longer be viable :(

    Thanks for the heads up, you given us just enough time to start building the escape pod. Anyone else interested sign up on the "build the escape pod" thread in the Hook Up forum. Psst OP, don't look now but I think Nurse Ratchet is headed your way... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCOxcDcZ69o
  2. M

    Immensely Credible Robert Shiller: "Depression Lurks Unless There’s More Stimulus

    I think this is really the only way out of the crisis. If smarter action had been taken at the outset the crisis could have been contained and a few more years of prosperity could have been enjoyed before the inevitable slowdown, but we are far beyond that point. Now the ONLY thing that will...
  3. M

    10% of Capital One cardholders default on credit card debt they can't pay

    He will be very lucky if he isn't charged with fraud, people who do what he did in that $ amount often are. In addition debts run up in the 60 days before BK are not dischargeable if they are not shown to be for necessities.
  4. M

    Finally, I decided it: I'll get a loan on my home (mortgage) to invest!

    Having seen a few more of his posts I would say you are absolutely correct.
  5. M

    Perhaps This Is Bullish Housing

    My first thought was there is a difference between being able to afford the house and qualifying for the mortgage. However, it looks like credit scores are actually rising: http://www.marketwire.com/press-release/Credit-Karma-974543.html
  6. M

    Atheism is a or is a product of mental illness...

    The only thing we can be sure of is that we don't know (knowledge and belief being distinct). If the religious fanatics took the time to ponder that before they tried to foist their dogma, often by force or one type of another, on to others they would do a lot less damage than they can be...
  7. M

    Finally, I decided it: I'll get a loan on my home (mortgage) to invest!

    No, because at that point the way things are going he would certainly qualify for a government bailout :D Seriously though, many people have 80-90% of their net worth in their homes. Taking a loan at what is historically (artificially) cheap long term money, throw in the interest deduction...
  8. M

    Finally, I decided it: I'll get a loan on my home (mortgage) to invest!

    Not necessarily such a bad idea if the OP is only going to mortgage a small % of his home equity, say 25% or if the OP has plenty of additional liquidity and just wants to add some more leverage. More info is needed to make a call one way or the other. Say he has $1M in liquid investments and...
  9. M

    J.P. Morgan CEO sees positive signs in Calif. real estate

    http://www.fieldcheckgroup.com/blog/
  10. M

    Can Somebody tell me why I shouldn't buy the SRS here?

    Amen. A buddy was thinking about putting on a put credit spread in the 80-85 strike area on SKF a few weeks ago when it was around $110 thinking that 90 was "about as low as it could go" before expiration. I managed to talk him out of it by explaining why S/R are meaningless on these...
  11. M

    China stocks

    China's stimulus as a % of GDP makes the US stimulus look pitiful, in addition China has been forcing its banks to lend (probably a high % of bad loans) so there injection of real liquidity is another big differece between the US and China. Now everyone is waiting to see what China's 1Q GDP...
  12. M

    Food stamps

    We would take food stamps at the food bank I volunteered at. It was 10c a pound with a limit of 20lbs/person/week. You can get a lot of staple food for that $2!
  13. M

    DNDN halted after close................

    FWIW there were a couple of Profs on Minyanville that were touting the stock all of yesterday before it was halted and Fil Zucchi had laid out a play where you sold the May 10 bught the May 15 and took the credit and bought the April 15s in a ratio.
  14. M

    Housing market is recovering - not!

    Here he is and well worth reading as always: http://www.fieldcheckgroup.com/2009/04/11/4-10-forward-look-at-defaults-foreclosures-banks-and-housing/
  15. M

    $380,000 - $1,037,000 per person

    Agree, very dangerous to short the USD here. The moment this bear market rally is over and we head back down the USD strengthens and sharply. As for treasuries, there is much manipulation/buying of US treasuries by the Fed and central banks trying to support their currencies that when they run...
  16. M

    $380,000 - $1,037,000 per person

    The irony is that at least 65% of Americans don't have good enough credit to borrow $1K at better than 10%. How many US corporations can borrow at 3.5% for 30 years? Who backs the US treasury that is currently able to get 30 year money for 3.5%? US citizens and corporations. I know that is an...
  17. M

    Personal economic observations part I

    http://www.rgemonitor.com/us-monitor/256255/are_jobless_claims_peaking
  18. M

    Drys

    Yep, no change in the position. Sold my Rimm calls today though :)
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