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  1. globalarbtrader

    Developing "Spartan"

    I'm trying to understand why the sizing up is so dramatic. Is that because your CAGR is insanely high? Rob
  2. globalarbtrader

    How many of you need to learn coding to work with data ?

    I could paste off a list of a dozen off google search, but I'm sure anyone who is that interested could do that for themselves. I'm not going to list specific websites as I don't use any of them so no endorsement should be implied. Unfollowing this thread - I've said my piece and as I said...
  3. globalarbtrader

    How many of you need to learn coding to work with data ?

    I suppose, but there are already dozens more platforms that can already do that. GAT
  4. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Feels like time for a bit of an update. Hit a HWM again on Monday, but I guess now like most people I'm a little off that, down about 0.9%. YTD will be somewhere between 33% and 38% depending on whether you use non compounded or compounded returns (I prefer the former, but for comparision the...
  5. globalarbtrader

    Developing "Spartan"

    Can you talk a bit more about this 'sizing up'? Rob
  6. globalarbtrader

    How many of you need to learn coding to work with data ?

    Why would you need to do that in seconds? Unless you're just massively overfitting your trading strategy? Heck, with that filter you're definitely overfitting to hell. "Ooohhh. a complex SQL filtering system" give me a break. To answer your question: I learned to programme way before I...
  7. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Yes, this problem only occurs because I translated everything into portfolio weight terms. I'm currently playing around with the shadow cost parameter to see if 50 is optimal or not. Rob
  8. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Problem is fixed, though I need to tidy up the production code, but I had to recalibrate the shadow_cost parameter to 50, otherwise I was trading far too slowly. Latest commit should work, but be careful if you have shadow_cost in your private_config.yaml as that will need overwriting. If...
  9. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    There is a bug in the psystemtrade cost calculation for dynamic optimisation which only came up when I was writing up the methodology for my book. See discussion here. It's trivial to fix, but I'm currently checking the backtest to see what effect it has. Rob
  10. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    Well done. My MTM was down -0.5% yesterday but up 1% today (because I close before the US does, I sometimes get p&l running over to the next day). So small up, rubbing the HWM a little higher. And excess cash is only about 2.5% right now, not worth the transfer :-) Rob
  11. globalarbtrader

    Sources of historical futures data

    For a book I'm putting together a list of resources. For the above, so far I've got: barchart.com data.nasdaq.com (was quandl) https://www.tickdata.com/ www.eoddata.com Anything else you like? Ideally free or relatively cheap (not bloomberg then :-( ) Daily data is fine, doesn't need to be...
  12. globalarbtrader

    Anyone using saxo to trade futures in the UK?

    I'm interested in API trading, if anyone has experience of that. Basically I want a backup for IB. Seems to be the only shop offering actual futures, rather than CFD and spread bets. GAT
  13. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    HWM yesterday, which was nice. Had a slightly weird evening yesterday as part of a conference to retail traders sponsored and organised by a CFD broker. Me and a bunch of weird discretionary people. They all laughed when I told them I had no idea what my positions are, but stopped laughing...
  14. globalarbtrader

    Contract rollover starts tomorrow

    IB let's you physically settle IMM FX and lends you the currency if you don't have it. Probably best to roll or close but FYI GAT
  15. globalarbtrader

    Algotrading journal

    Best of luck GAT
  16. globalarbtrader

    Fully automated futures trading

    In backtest I found that DO traded more often than my original system (turnover in risk terms) but had lower trading costs, due to sticking with cheaper instruments when possible. But it wasn't trading twice as much so that sounds a bit fishy. Something to bear in mind is that DO will probably...
  17. globalarbtrader

    Distinguish open position in IB for different bots (strategies)

    Place order with Order(.... modelCode = 'model_name', ....) Get positions back with positionMulti(...., modelCode = 'model name', ....) GAT
  18. globalarbtrader

    Too good to be true - calendar spread?!

    Several problems with this. Firstly if the spread moves against you by one tick then you will need to put up more margin. The real capital you would need to run this trade is much higher than you think. Secondly, a minor point but the July 2022 CL contract expires in late June. So there is...
  19. globalarbtrader

    How is a managed future strategy different from simply trading the VIX?

    YTD, they are all up. But what does that prove? The correlation of daily returns for the YTD period (Long VIX, my CTA) is 0.07. Basically noise. Correlation of monthly returns is -0.29 FWIW (only 5 observations) GAT
  20. globalarbtrader

    How is a managed future strategy different from simply trading the VIX?

    Blimey. Whether you need all that power or an army of phds is a moot question, but there is an awful lot more to this than just being 'long the VIX' Rather than trading one future, you're probably trading over a hundred. Also you're going long and short. And if anything you spend more time...
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