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All fixed now. Thanks for emailing on this. Same problem with dhpar. Enjoy.

email me at scriabinop23@gmail.com. you registered with a bogus email address it looks like, and it needs to verify email addresses to register. i can change your password when you need.

OK I through up a quick old version of some forum software as well as a chat. I will update it throughout the week, but the site is working and should be ready to go. Feel free to register and post. bondtraderforum.com is the place.

It feels like this thing is pinned down...

I just registered bondtraderforum.com. I will install some forum software, and get this site going in the next week. It will be a place all of us can get together ... Maybe some chat rooms as well.

accumulation is distribution is accumulation. All hocus pocus. Just because the level is low doesn't differentiate between accumulation and distribution. And agreed, the USO means relatively nothing in the oil market besides the occasional rollover bump it causes in real futures and the...

On IB, I have recently (last month or so) traded 30 year treasuries cash and it goes in increments as low as 10 lots. 1 lot is $100. (So a 50 qty order would represent around $5000 worth of treasury bonds) The orders are slow to fill, an order fills aren't exactly predictable. I imagine if...

They're such a pretty bunch.

Now here I go with easy wikipedia quotes: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_exports_per_capita

EU is not a country. And goods + services are what I'm looking at. For Germany: http://www.destatis.de/jetspeed/portal/cms/Sites/destatis/Internet/EN/Content/Statistics/TimeSeries/EconomicIndicators/ForeignTrade/Content100/ahl210a,templateId=renderPrint.psml Exports for 2008, 994B...

There is unlimited upside, since you are trading on percentage moves, not absolute. The thing is rebalanced daily. If financials went down in value 10%/day into perpetuity, FAZ would go up 30%/day into perpetuity. Unfortunate compounding based on these principals (up 10%, down 10%, repeat)...

The US is the world's largest exporter, believe it or not. 1.86T... http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2009/pdf/gdp408f.pdf China is at 1T with about 40% of their GDP as exports.

Buy stocks, gold, real estate, etc. TIPs if you trust government numbers.

I just bought a few shares after hours (10.80) as a long term hedge for my long bias portfolio. At 10 and under, it is priced like an option. I also have a crapload of treasury bond calls that I've been butchered on all week. Somehow my gut tells me the market keeps moving up. (despite my...

I've tended to be bullish on stocks and generally afraid to short, but I think the best way to hold protection is holding 30 yr treasuries (and some gold can't hurt). As fear ramps up, treasuries offer plenty of opportunity. There will be no long end auctions until the end of April and the...

Hmmm... I want int rate swaps in my retail brokerage... saves a lot of paperwork.

What do you make of 30 yr swap spreads being negative?

Hmmm.. interested in this. Look at GM April for 1.65, GM Sep 1.22. Is that a risk free arb?

Anyone notice (or have explanations) on the selling of upside volatility in the 30 year bond (ZB) options ??? I see 13% vol on ZB right now whereas last week it was closer to 20%.. 30 yr is up almost a point and the 131 May calls are trading a tick higher!! I see the skew is towards the put...