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  1. M

    Trend Following Research

    Technical Analysis can be as simple as open, high, low, close and as mathematically complex as the designer math ability. A quant (phd mathematician) that uses technical analysis is advanced math.
  2. M

    Trend Following Research

    Thank you for this post especially the part about asking a shifty salesman to hold himself to a higher standard..... and the main purpose for keeping a journal...... To not know how many trades you have taken and if your net positive or not is like a kid not knowing how many toys he has in...
  3. M

    Trend Following Research

    So ED THORP ED SEKOYTA Trend traders who use technical analysis (ADVANCED MATHEMATICS) on their trades over decades of winning is doing nothing more than guessing. Surf you just lost me on that one 2 + 2 = 4 when 4 stops being the answer I might stop using technical analysis and...
  4. M

    The Surf Report--part 2

    on 30 min chart the market has a long bias to 1281.00 but did a mini cycle reversal last night before whipsawing back around. If someone told me they won 100% of the time that would be questionable. We all lose even if we have a 85% winning ratio. I for one will still be following you but...
  5. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    I was just going to post a nice observation about the options expiration post you made Is this take a shot at mwingo every morning. Is it now apart of your trading rules. I always move stops below breakeven when possible and have previous reference to that being how I trade. I do not live...
  6. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Always use proper trade management. Moved stop to below break even before going to bed. I was more concerned to see if cycle reversal direction would move outside of the 1261.75 range on the [30 min chart] so I set a target for top of range 1263.75 and another way outside of the range right...
  7. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Trade Recap Overnight the market did do a mini cycle reversal on the 30 min chart pushing from 1266 to 1258.50. Market now is showing even print were it could go either way long or short. With a little weight to the long side
  8. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Good post. I was checking my email before reading a new financial book I got last weekend at the local barnes and nobles and saw there where a few post. I saw your trade and looked at the market on the 30 min chart. There is a clear trigger for my cycle reversal strategy down to 1263.75...
  9. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Today reminds me of the fast whipsaws the market did in spring 2008's credit crunch. I do not feel we will see a repeat of fall 2008 crash anytime soon but I could be wrong anyhow today was an interesting day that I managed to somehow come out ahead and good observation Gkramer their was no...
  10. M

    The Surf Report--part 2

    I plan to start a journal in a week or two so I can become a better trader. I think a good suggestion that Neenisti is saying is to do a recap. Like a weekly recap or monthly recap. I plan to post swing trades and Neenisti I caught both those trades you mentioned so I would love to see where...
  11. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Nope the bears cant hold them down at all. I was looking to go long earlier today 30 min chart but it never triggered. Then the market did a 180 and triggered two of my strategies that hit their targets where I had enough time to post one of them and now the market 180 again. demtdayboys...
  12. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    The strategy I just posted builds up to a trend, if the trend does not occur I am out but normally my stop is placed below my entry and I have already hit first two profit targets. It looks like since the trend did not occur this time around you would have hit your target of 57.50 which...
  13. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Thanks you I appreciate it. Not trying to compete, just trying to look at the market but since you mentioned it I will be looking at EMG trades to see how close they trigger to mine which would be cool.
  14. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Trade recap Both profit targets hit. Instead of taking the 1254 level like I normally would have done I moved stop to 1256 in order to see if market would trend since I did not put on a third (trend) or fourth (triumph)10 lot position. I do not move the 4th level stop so I would still...
  15. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Stop moved to 1256 going to go make a protein shake and let the dog out. Might even use the bathroom
  16. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Stop moved to 1257 there is still steam at the 1254 level. If I was trading daily chart I would take one off at that level and the next level would be 1250 before the big ride.... So no matter what I pick up 2 total points and prepare myself for a short trend if it ever occurs. Just how I...
  17. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Will let the forum know if I exit or keep second target for long ride. First target hit. 1st target is the tick/scalp level 2nd target is the trade level 3rd target is the trend level (no 3rd target on 30 min chart during test) 4th target is the triumph level (no 4th target on 30 min chart...
  18. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    there are lots of different strategies and not anyone is better than any other. Sincerly this strategy is a swing momentum trend strategy. So the market has to build up strength and go into a mini trend inorder for it to trigger. For example on the daily chart the market came down from a...
  19. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Vol your never let anything rest or are we just trying to get the last word. Its been over a week and you still talk about it. I said just let the market decide I never said it was your fault. I said I was about to but started replying to you. That is my fault for losing focus, I do not play the...
  20. M

    ES Journal Archive (2011)

    Triggered @1258 Stop @1267 TP 1 @ 1257 TP 2 @ 1254 (Or will ride if steam) Exit Strategy is in places 1% risk while testing 30 min chart
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