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hi, I have downloaded most of the postings in thread starting from the beginning into word files. Half of the month of collection into one word file included the chart as well and the author of the post. File size is big, 5MB to 12MB each. From Jul 07 up to 29 Nov 07 (except the month of...

What is your setting for the Anchor chart ? Do you filter out the pre-trading hour ? Is it a 5 min chart ? Chiu

I saw comment added to the jpg file posted. What are the software tool that could do it well ?

Hi, I have noted that NQ is the leader, ER2 acts slower than NQ. When NQ breaks trend, ER2 might not have moved yet, it might have some 2 sec to react. So it might be a low risk trade based on that, of course, still follow AHG rules. Any one has such experience ? Chiu

Anek, You have mentioned about the engulfing candlestick, I agree totally on that. How to make trade entry for such signal ? Usually this is a fast price movement in a short impulse move. Do you advise us to wait for a retracement or click fast on market order (is it chasing ?) ? Or...

Mark, 5 winners in a row, well done ! Could you share when do you to choose to put on such kind of scalping ? What is the setup for entry ? Do you put on any indicator for this scalping trade ? Chiu

The 3 bar reversal mentioned by StrealthTrader, is 'Morning Star' and 'Evening Star' formation in candlestick right ? ST also mentions about 3 confirmed swing in the same direction for this signal, I do not understand, any one could offer more explaination ?

JOYG has 1 year IV range of 40-65% and will have the next earning announcement on 18 Dec 2006. Currently on the low end of IV. BBOX has 1 year IV range of 30-55% and will have the next earning announcement on 7 Dec 2006. Currently on the low end of IV as well. Any comment ?

How about BCSI ? This stock usually has the earning announcement near to the Feb, May, Aug and Nov option month expiration date or right after that. The next one will 20 Nov which is after the Nov expiration month. From ivolatility.com, the IV range of 1 year is in the range of 50-75%...

Hi Mark, Yip and ryank, From Nov 2005 to Oct 2006, there is more than 2/3 chance that the SPX closed on high on the option expiration date. 6 months closed less 5 points from the high of the month, 2 months closed between 6-9 points from the high. The study starts from the first day of...

When I mentioned front month in this context, it is referenced near to the earning date and not at the point of entering a position. Thank you for pointing this misleading quote. As for SHLD, thank you for pointing out their company behaviour in earning announcement. For this year, they...

Managed to do backtest on AMZN which announced its last quarter earning on 24 Oct 2006 (Oct expiration is 20 Oct). On 18 Sep AMZN at $32.08, do a position of the following RCD : Sell 1 Oct $35 Call price ? Buy 2 Nov $32.5 Call ZQNKZ at $2.1 IV=41.9% Buy 2 Nov $32.5 Put...

Could you share your ideas of vega play since you mentioned that you have the intention to start one ? Any good strategy to play IV increase toward the earning date ?

Coach, ivolatility.com shows the past 1 year the IV range for DNA is ony 20-39%, is it sufficient for such play ?

Going for front month IV increase likelihood, done the following orders : 1) AAPL at $84.8 on 14 Nov 2006 at 1,960 debit, next earning date : 17 Jan 2007 amc STO 1 Dec $90 Call at $1.25 BTO 2 Jan $85 Call at $5.66 BTO 2 Jan $85 Put at $4.94 STO 1 Dec $75 Put at $0.35 2) EBAY at $33.0...

Thank you for repeating this. While doing the study, I noted that the IV increase might only occur to the front month contract, and not even to the next month. Take the case of Sears SHLD, it has delayed the announcement of earning recently. On 8 Nov, the company announced that the...

For AAPL, the next earning announcement is on 18 Jan 2007, which is 2 days before the Jan option month expiration date. In this case, is it better to have the long leg in Jan or Apr contract month in your opinion ?

Coach, Thank you for your response. It provides me a diversified porfolio. What is the proper term for such strategy ? Initially you use the term Ratio Calendar Diagonal, later you use Ratio Diagonal Calendar Spread, which one is more appropriate ?

Following the same ideas, it has the same risk graph pattern: 1) AMZN at $39.26 on 10 Nov Past 1 year IV range 25-65%, now 29.4%, margin $1.4k STO 1 Dec $42.5 Call $0.35 BTO 2 Apr $40 Call $3.7 BTO 2 Apr $40 Put $3.7 STO 1 Dec $35 Put $0.2 Next earning on 2 Feb 2007 2) YHOO at...

Coach, Following your thread, this is the model that I have worked out based on last Friday closing price chain : AAPL @ $83.12 on 10 Nov 2006 STO 1 Dec $90 Call $1.05 BTO 2 Apr $85 Call $8.10 BTO 2 Apr $85 Put $8.20 STO 1 Dec $75 Put $0.55 Debit = $3,100. From ivolatility.com, the...