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  1. SanMiguel

    3:00 WH COVID press conference prediction

    Waited all day for that rally. Phew
  2. SanMiguel

    Dow circuit breaker - 2 hrs?

    Yeah but 2hrs? I thought it was 15 min breaks
  3. SanMiguel

    Dow circuit breaker - 2 hrs?

    The ym has been off for 2 hours now. Why so long? The breakers are usually 15mins
  4. SanMiguel

    hypothetical question

    Of course. I mean let's say you're +250k. Are you really going to hold on for 1m or just take all the money out to spend on coke and whores?
  5. SanMiguel

    hypothetical question

    That sounds like a backtest that took advantage of a very specific market to go 10x in 3 months. How can you be sure those specific scenarios will occur again?
  6. SanMiguel

    First US Layoffs!

    really more worrisome? The problem is the strain on hospitals for people with severe respiratory issues and the then impact after on services and economy. So far, the new coronavirus has led to more than 100,000 illnesses and more than 3,000 deaths worldwide. But that's nothing compared with...
  7. SanMiguel

    Close some options at 25-50% profit?!

    I'm wondering why, that's all. Since it seems counterintuitive
  8. SanMiguel

    Close some options at 25-50% profit?!

    Here's someone else recommending it. Literally every options site says this: https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/learn/managing-winners https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/best-practices/episodes/rules-of-thumb-when-to-take-profits-04-03-2018
  9. SanMiguel

    Close some options at 25-50% profit?!

    I think for the 25%, is usually on butterflies at1:3 or 1:4 risk reward with 20-30% probability. It's not -10 for the 1 loss but for sure it's not just +1 on every trade either. The above link is not the only site promoting a 25% take profit - it seems to be almost every options site talking...
  10. SanMiguel

    Close some options at 25-50% profit?!

    For example: https://optionalpha.com/members/tracks/advanced-course/exiting-options-trades-automatically
  11. SanMiguel

    Close some options at 25-50% profit?!

    I keep seeing on mange options sites the strategy to close butterflies at 25% profit and spreads at around 50%. The supposed idea is that it increases win rate but they all cite statistics that are never referenced, eg "the studies say that increasing win rate and banking profits increases the...
  12. SanMiguel

    Are we now in "safe" bear market?

    So where's all the volume coming from?!
  13. SanMiguel

    Are we now in "safe" bear market?

    So you called it a bull market a week after the bottom in 2009? :)
  14. SanMiguel

    Are we now in "safe" bear market?

    I don't think you can call this a bear market, it's just news reaction and has only been 2 weeks. A proper bear market takes months
  15. SanMiguel

    Which volatility measure for setting stops ?

    Depends. You can have a larger target with smaller stops. However, if volatility is higher then that's making your target higher and therefore need a larger stop.
  16. SanMiguel

    TWS Extremely Slow to Start Up

    Over the weekend or during the week? Systems are often down for weekend upgrades
  17. SanMiguel

    Let's say I have a covered call in a retirement account ...

    What stock is it? How far below or above break even are you? Kind of an interesting point since the market could bounce here. Depending on the stock you could wait a little bit before buying the put. You could also consider cheaper further otm puts but need to weigh the pros and cons and...
  18. SanMiguel

    Let's say I have a covered call in a retirement account ...

    As above. You either close the whole lot or put on a protective put
  19. SanMiguel

    Daytrading the whole session versus calling it a day after reaching a profit target?

    Your post implied that you make 80% of your money from 20% of either your trades or your time. At least that's how I read it
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