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    Cramer is back at it

    I went long FB puts for bragging rights and to stick it to cramer and his followers.
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    cramer says whatsapp would have been a $30B IPO???

    Went long puts on FB for bragging rights.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    short qqq at 90.45.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    The idea of fading made it even to the main press, which is a proof that the models predicted a fade as even journalists could see after it the fact. " NEW YORK (AP) — The stock market ended higher Monday, but a late fade kept it from closing at an all-time high."
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    Cramer is back at it

    I would think that generally people, not including red necks, would view 71.71 as a price that could represent, for the purpose of anticipatory estimation, any price in the range of 71.71-X to 71.71+X , where is X a small enough number such as X=0.70.
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    Cramer is back at it

    FB is a short @ 71.71, the models say.
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    Dogchat to be taken over for $100 billion

    Is this theory correct: If there is no growth in FB users, the stock could get hit with a correction. Since a 40% correction could clip $80B, could $19B be viewed as a put against the correction? A put for $80 billion should priced at about $30B. If Whatsapp can keep traffic growing for 2...
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    cramer says whatsapp would have been a $30B IPO???

    FB traded less than 30 cents away from the estimate of a top from my models.
  9. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    QQQ went to 90.43, and the longs were headfaked not just once but twice, with short duration between the two successive headfakes which took pace in the same price range and in the same manner, thus reflecting the mode''s name: "Fade the stupids". RR was ~ 10:1.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    Indeed the stupids were headfaked between 73 and 78, before the hammer hit them and sent it down to 64.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    qqq at 90.73. My "fade the stupids" model is telling me to trade on the short side.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    So far that was the top. Was today day 1 of a correction?
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    ES Journal - 2014

    qqq at 90.30 to 90.40 area. My " fade-the-stupids" models issued a signal to me to trade on the short side.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    The bull is injured.
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    ES Journal - 2014

    VIX at 14. I like to the long side of volty between 14 and 12. I hope QQQ would get to the 90.50 area so that I can go long puts at cheaper price. QQQ less than 1% away from 90.50 (currently at 89.70). I think the top is around the corner.
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    Raise minimum wage: Goodbye Micky D's, Hello Chipotle

    That is correct, but the issue is that they will distribute the money, which is why I thought in the previous post that it would lead to money going to landlords. I would not be surprised if a main motivation to raise minimum wage were help the real estate market, as landlords benefit from lower...
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    Hit new highs or crash?

    Are there articles or explanations to this phenomenon: Two bad job reports, yet the market is up.
  18. T

    ES Journal - 2014

    Two bad job reports, yet the market is up!
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    ES Journal - 2014

    qqq at 89.40 area. I like the 89 puts at 16cents. Yesterday's shorting at 89.13 was excellent, as qqq traded at 88.30 at open this morning.
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    Raise minimum wage: Goodbye Micky D's, Hello Chipotle

    Higher minimum wage is another factor to increase the rent income of landlords, and help the price of their properties.
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