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If it gasp up today, it would be the 4th consecutive gap ups. Past three are unfilled. I am surprised that the majority of people on this thread in this forum are not bullish.

Trading is a zero to negative sum activity. The expected outcome is that the majority fails. What is not expected is that a trader would win, and what is expected is that a trader fails. So failing in trading is more likely than winning, and there is nothing one can do about it because it is...

Great job Pinkman! I am glad you post b/c there are people who do not seem to understand that there could be smart money in markets.

SPY @ 187.97. If I had your long, this is where I would lock it.

I see (increasingly) possible red in PM. Do you have a stop?

models telling to make 3rd add. SPY at 187.65.

models telling me to make 2nd. Spy at 187.75. How deep would the retreat be? Which are the weak stocks of the dow with liquid puts and low IV?

Exhaustion gap.

He is posting in real-time. Is it written somewhere that everyone should lose?

:-) How far up is it in % from when you were told it would go down 30 points (1.5%)?

SPY @ 187.90. 1st add.

My models are telling me to scale in: Minus SPY starting @ 187.55.

Which would get hit first?

Excellent chart Ammo!

If a variable is nonzero, it is either a positive number or a negative number. The logic of your post assumes that the sum is non-zero, and further assumes that the sum is never negative as otherwise the conclusion would be incorrect. On what basis did you arrive at the conclusion that...

That is precisely why traders are more likely to fail than not, b/c the numbers in a zero-to-negative sum activity imply it.

+1.

Going forward, what is the lowest price it would not go up to before it does what is in your forecast? Currently at ~ 63.5. The 50 gap is 13.5 points. A 3:1 stop would be around 68. How confident are you that such stop would not be hit?

QQQ fell from the 87.90 area to the 87.60 area. It makes sense.

FB traded in range [60.5, 59.90] for remainder of day since 1:50PM.