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  1. K

    The ACD Method

    https://www.deribit.com/ options/futures on bitcoin, trade at your own risk, interesting site though.
  2. K

    The ACD Method

    vvix popped to 115 like a month ago, same here, now back near 80, studies put in only to aggravate Maverick!! no secret sauce for you Mav.
  3. K

    The ACD Method

    re bitcoin if you look at a chart from around April, all the coins have been straight moonshots, jj90 I think, mentioned Japan giving their stamp of approval, making it legal. Bitcoin is the 800 pound gorilla, with ETH Ethereum and XRP Ripple in the race. Ripple looks like smart money to me if...
  4. K

    The ACD Method

    evix, don't know if you saw this Mav. http://vixandmore.blogspot.com/
  5. K

    The ACD Method

    interesting article, http://vixandmore.blogspot.com/2016/11/vix-median-reversion-and-five-year.html those spikes will kill you though!!
  6. K

    The ACD Method

    man what is this, Tyler thinks he is on nuclear phyance, I just want to know if I should press the red or green button??
  7. K

    Karen the Supertrader - TastyTrade Hybrid Experiment

    I think that paper references the 20 sigma, anyway when you start talking 3-5% moves in the indexes you are gonna get hurt. You could look at options on GBP/USD and compare before during and after. Hope you came out okay on your position.
  8. K

    Karen the Supertrader - TastyTrade Hybrid Experiment

    The put skew is there for a reason, think about this the 87 crash completely changed how options are priced, that's a pretty big deal. There is a paper somewhere that talks about the crash in sigma's some insane number, don't have time to find the paper. On a crash with defined risk you eat the...
  9. K

    The ACD Method

    https://shawglobalnews.files.wordpress.com/2016/07/chart.png
  10. K

    MCD is in big trouble. May not exist in 5 years

    yeah I guess the thinking is they will attract more millennials by being in the city, brave new world. Still waiting for them to split the hamburger/french fry business.
  11. K

    The ACD Method

  12. K

    The ACD Method

    this is just a great example of people incorrectly guessing the future nothing wrong with that guessing the future is hard, I think the leave on betfair was around 4:1 then it got bid up to 10:1, then reversed to 15:1 for stay last night as the votes came in. But its all chump change compared to...
  13. K

    The ACD Method

    sure Mav its easy to blame the system/whoever for your lack of position sizing, I am always trying to tell these guys with increased vol you have to, have to reduce your size, or be taken out in a stretcher. I think the bids on seats at the merc/CBOE may tick up though. death spike on the open?
  14. K

    The ACD Method

    I disagree here, they don't "know" shit, the good news is neither does anyone else, this is likely the biggest misconception, everyone is in the "know" but you, does anyone know where the spuz will close today, no proof either way
  15. K

    The ACD Method

    banks are gonna get smacked hard, brexit will be nightmare scenario for them.
  16. K

    The ACD Method

    lots of bright people don't think the euro union will last long term, the implication long term for the euro and the euro union is not good at all!
  17. K

    The ACD Method

    leave was 10:1 on betfair, needless to say its the chalk now spooky!
  18. K

    The ACD Method

    where do you think the yen will end up if the Brits exit, will be very interesting. Euro is gonna get smacked too, good times!
  19. K

    The ACD Method

    this will have a direct effect on different markets, it seems the real driver is more autonomy for the Brits. Pound is selling off and vol is elevated in many products so I think US and certainly Euro exchanges are being affected.
  20. K

    The ACD Method

    What's the advantage of leaving the currency is not part of the euro, just curious.
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