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Binomial Probability worked, thanks marc

What are the chances of winning 5, 6, 7 etc, bets in a row - IF the odds are 50-50, 55-45, 45-55 etc? I'm looking for a math Formula, so I can input the data, and figure it out for myself. Maybe there's a website, that would help? thanks marc

you can find reasonable carry costs, on some, UMDD/SMDD for example, but I found the daily rebalancing to eat away at profits. It's possible that I just picked the wrong ETFs, at the wrong time. marc

I'm familiar with UNG [and the leveraged ETFs] are there any other Non-Leveraged that Decay, like UNG? marc

Does anyone know if a "Modify" will have the same cost effect as a Cancellation? If I move an option buy/sell price to a lower or higher strike, will I have similar fees, to a cancellation? marc

What about that Lasik sugery, vs Contacts? Anyone tried both? Well, once you try Lasik I guess you can't go back. I have some friends with Lasik, and they seem happy. I tried contacts years ago. Only hard back then I think. marc

thanks Don, How do we/you handle a May 6th 2010 type situation? Just cut losses as soon as we can - as best we can? [covering Puts] I'm much less concerned about the upside calls. marc

"Something new to think about : Stock at $30. Sell $20 puts and $40 calls. Collect money daily as long as the stock stays between $20 and $40. Don " Collecting premium on both sides is intriguing [tempting]. So, lets say the stock moves up to the next strike [$35], you sell more puts...

how does one Insure against a large unexpected Downside move, that happens every 5 years or so? [not the stock itself, the overall Market] way OTM SPY Puts? marc

I was going to give you my current trading ideas...but I was afraid someone would criticize me. marc

The Supreme Court starts debating health care, or "Obamacare," Monday, March 26th. I don't want to try to predict what is going to happen, but I can see possible Volitility, whatever the outcome. How about some ideas on how to play this volitility, if it happens? marc

I bought mine here [Ebay] a year ago or so, and I'm happy with it. I got one with 2 video cards, that run 2 monitors each [4 total]. Around $800, I think. http://www.ebay.com/sch/PC-Desktops-/179/i.html?_ipg=25&_from=&_nkw=&_armrs=1&_ssn=nexgenllc My only complaint would be, with 6...

danshirley, how do you come up with the Probability? thanks marc

would anyone know when the "decay" actually happens, is deducted from the leveraged ETF's price? after the markets close? on the next days opening print? after market open? etc it may be hard to know, exactly, unless you are someone involved in running a leveraged ETF. marc

I meant, if I have an order in to buy the Option [not the stock] 25-50% below the normal stock [option] price. Maybe that's clearer. marc

I was wondering if Options are active during a Crash? If one has an option to buy a stock at say 25-50% below the normal trade price, and the market goes through a severe "correction," such as May 6th, 2010, might your order be filled? I seem to recall some Stock trades being broken...

rmorse, yes, I'm basically talking about smaller adjustments. I'll try adjusting near the end of the day. thanks, marc

you're over my head there rmorse said: If you want to be neutral, stay dollar neutral. Every dollar not hedged for the next day, creates a theoretical long or short position unhedged. this is what I've been trying to do, trying to stay dollar neutral, but they seem to get away [5-10%]...

bwolinsky: any tips on Rebalancing, shorting a leveraged ETF pair? I'm experimenting with a pair, but the rebalancing seems tricky and my borrow rate is close to 6%! thanks marc

could someone give examples of "1-2, 1-3, 1-4 week diagonals" ? thanks, marc