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Can anybody tell me what they think treasuries are going to do next week? I think treasuries have fully priced in at least a 50 cut but I agree with the people that have said we are only going to get a 25 cut. If we only get 25 will treasuries fall or will it depend more on what the stock...

Shorted 1 10yr today at 117.01 I tried to get one sold at 118 yesterday but no luck and I thought I wouldn't get filled today either but suprisingly we traded higher today in the treasuries. It seems to me that we have put in a short term top in the treasury market and im just looking to...

hrokling Many thanks for the reply. I will be getting that book. Great journal so far and I wish you the best in 08 YT

pabst Any thoughts on treasuries here? Im currently short 10yr at 117.01 I think we have put in at least a short term top in the treasury market but thought I would ask advice from a pro. YT

pabst any thoughts on treasuries here? Im short 10yr at 117.01

Over the past week or so from what I can tell everybody running their black boxes has either blown up or pulled the plug on them for the time being. What im seeing is more pure bid/offers and a more structural market. What seems to be the interesting thing though is that volumes seem to be...

Looking at a few things tomorrow. I will be more than likely getting short the 10yr tomorrow morning at around 118. With the highest daily volume this month traded yesterday on a range that was huge and opened and closed at around the same spot I have got to think we have a short term top in...

Maria Agreed but don't you think we have at least an intermediate term top in? I mean look at the 10-year.....biggest one day volume this month with a massive range that closed just about where it opened. Looks to me like a decline is on the way. I know seasonally treasuries tend to weaken...

Im also getting some sell signals and will be looking to get short the 10-year tomorrow. From what I can tell we are in for a pop in the es to around 1375-1400. From there headed back lower but I agree a top is in the treasuries........at least for now. YT

Spreader Thanks for pointing those things out. Yesterday with all the added volatility in the financial markets I believe that they turned off the machines (at least in the bund) because it appeared that all of the bid/offer traded and no spoofing was happening. It seemed like a great day...

Agreed

I agree (although I havn't traded it long enough to really know lol). Same nice big range with the euribor too. If you ask me I think its because some guys unplugged there black boxes today with all the turmoil in the financial markets (not for sure but it seemed like bids/offers were...

Out of all my pounds today at 93.65. I didn't start looking at the currencies this morning until around 2am and for once im glad that I trade so early in the morning:) Total profit on the pound trade is $9062 With a 35k account and im taking profits of 9k on 1 trade im starting to think...

Could you please explain why you trade the spreads that are only 6 or 9 months apart? Is that where most of the volume is done in eurodollar spreads? If not could you please tell me what are the highest volume spreads (ex. front month and etc?). I have started to dabble in trading the euribor...

I usually just tell everyone im a glorified gambler! If they don't believe that I tell them I trade stocks (way easier than explaining futures).

InvertedCurve I agree with you completely (I believe that post was aimed towards me). I come from a physical commodity background so I no next to nothing about the treasuries (besides the very basic stuff). With a handle like that I think you are the right person to ask this next...

Added another 5 shorts to my pound trade. Im short 10 contracts at 195.10 as of now. Well its a funny thing everybody. I knew all along that the s&p was headed to at least 1300 and yet I got scared and took my money WAY to soon. I am still kicking myself for being such a fucking idiot...

Spreader Thanks a lot for the advice. I do have a question about the algorithm traders. You mentioned that I should give it a few weeks and then see how a 3-4 tick stop works. I have only been trading the bund since 3am (not nearly a few weeks) but im using a 4 tick stop and I don't see...

I knew I would get everybody going when I said that im getting bored and looking for something new lol but to be honest that is really whats happening. Yeah I have made money in my previous contracts (not millions but I did well). I get very complacent (in life) and am always looking for...

Im seeing topping action in eurex fixed income (especially the bund). If we can break through 116 I think we could start to trade drastically lower! I wish I knew a little more about yield curve fundamentals and that kind of stuff but I don't lol so thats all I can give ya! YT