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amzn up $11.5 today! not only that look at the monthly it is at highs that it last tested in Jan 2004, it got there in 1 day. I wonder if this AMZN move is presaging a giant squeeze like netscape did at the start of the internet run..

actually, i was thinking we're starting a new bull run. SMH have broken out, amzn breaking out, just everything that is even ugly reversing up

but thank god I'm not an AMZN short! :p

if indeed its a black swan, one can never know when it will occur. However, since these are perported to be rare events, perhaps the premiums you pay to hedge aren't worth it. In other words, if you're paying the tax/insurance of hedging, maybe your better off just taking the 25% loss in a day...

if you are destined to become the first victim of a serial killer? In light of the VT shootings etc, how can one really be safe if the perp hasn't done anything yet? For example, being the first person shot by Malvo (the sniper up in the Northeast US). If you're walking down the street...

oh man if that start going we are going to get a rally, nasdaq has been moving without it thus far! Will the breakout hold 36? (more volume on this move, please)

been thinking about when to go long JPY for a long-term trade, problem is you're giving up what 4% a year in interest?

hmm.. seems like its become very correlated past several months, and potentially setting up for JPY to rally to test recent highs. If its correlated, we should test recent lows? Correlated?? What say you?

how about r3/r4 method?

not this year; I'm referring to range/volatility for a trader not if it will be higher (how an investor looks).

i thought tommorow would be a slow grind up on light volume since we're closed friday.. all day long

when you say its a great method, what do you mean. Lots of winners? Low Drawdowns? (is it a system?) High Profit Factor ... So what do you mean?

i haven't read it, but your talking nominal value I assume. I don't think its as big, (but not small either) that ppl are concerned about. Plus how much if it is hedged. When then begs the question, who is/are the counterparties/what is the risk of that. At some point you know its going to...

Hi, I'm not normally involved in these discussions but I think the primary reason for hostility is when the guru invades other ppl's threads and insulting the original thread poster. Than the guru goes on to brag about his methods. If the guru left other ppl's threads alone I doubt there...

So, the question isn't IF its who, who's holding the paper? I've read that it was packaged and sold off (MBS), etc but at some point we should start seeing where the ppl who are holding these loans are @. With the clearly mispricing of risk in the mortgage industry (hungry for volume and...

its going lower before higher imho needs to hold 450

i stayed long because of the nature of the rally (ie rallied back to .57). If we had meandered about and sold off I would have sold out. I think tommorow with window dressing will be a good up day.

i shoudl point out that the reason I'm watching QQQ, is because SMH makes a big part of them and they are been in a range, the reason the QQQQs are weak is that the Semis are trying to test the breakdown from consolidations, hence if its fake out it will rally hard the other way taking QQQQ with...

Still holding long waiting for the daily close, although its bleak now its all flop and chop lunchtime junk pushing the market around. Tbh, I'm surprised I'm not being slammed more by the peanut gallery since when your wrong everyone posts and when your right everyone ignores :) BUT.. I'm not...

ok we got the stop run (albeit a small one), the retrace to kiss 43.60, so now we should try for real this time to head south..come on LONGS!!!