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Bingo we have a winner. No conspiracy theories required.

Germany's government is subsidizing otherwise unprofitable jobs for years, delaying a big clean-out. Germany will not pull anybody out. They're buying time, hoping that their old deficit friends (USA, UK) continue to buy their exports on new debt. If that bet backfires they're back to square...

The bond bears have been predicting yields going to the moon since the early 90s. Every single bond sell off was the supposed to be the start of a secular bond bear market. I'm still waiting. JGB's yield 1-2%. Since a decade or so. Shows that nothing is impossible.

Some random starting points: * read Buffet's letters (http://www.amazon.com/Essays-Warren-Buffett-Lessons-Corporate/dp/0966446100 + http://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html ) -- especially the older ones, when Buffet was more of a trader because he could be more nimble with less...

A 1969 Ford Mustang is technology and safety wise about as good or bad a car as a $7,146 Chinese garbage car you can buy today. So if you had let your $2,200 sit in a bank account and collect interest for 40 years you could buy a car today that is at least as good if not better than the car...

Hey at least the guy doesn't put all eggs in one basket and nicely diversifies his bets! He forgot long emerging market stocks, should add some further diversification :cool:

Dollars have paid an annualized 3% of interest (before taxes) over the last 40 years.

Obviously this Wolfgang guy is a troll. This is a wind up thread, he's probably laughing his ass off.

King should have stayed with his "No rate cuts until 2010" call from 2008 :cool:

The US should consider invading Brazil. It might be harboring terrorists and cooperate with rogue nations :cool:

http://www.bernama.com/bernama/v5/newsbusiness.php?id=454014 "Malaysian CPO futures are expected to be launched on the Globex platform by the second half of next year."

I can guarantee one thing: If GDP comes in on the high side then within 12 hours there will be 1,000 articles on the usual blogs explaining how the government is willfully manipulating inflation data and therefore quarterly GDP was actually -8.6% in real terms :cool:

I think the "top picking" and "it is too extended, it has to correct now" psychology is exactly the same, regardless if something has an industrial use or not. That doesn't mean that gold will necessarily have to follow oil's move of 2008, neither up nor down. Still helpful to look at oil from a...

People quickly forget how many got burned and buried trying to pick a top in oil 2007/2008. Don't short stuff that's going up. If anything, buy put options, then all you can lose is the premium you're long. When (if ever) gold unravels, there will be plenty of time to establish outright short...

Buy gold :cool:

The conditions - record low household and corporate debt levels - were very supportive of real economic expansion and these were independent of Fed policy. In fact, it took two generations or so for household debt levels per capita to come down that far. Had consumers and corporations been in...

You mean like all the white guys running Wall St?

Sure, about as easy and consistent as somebody who keeps betting on RED at the roulette table and keeps winning and doubling his money round by round. Until he loses.

... and could deliver losses that top potential gold losses should the idea backfire :cool:

I disagree. IMO, both reward discipline first and foremost. You bet aggressively only if you have reason to believe that the odds are strongly in your favor.