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  1. P

    Surf Report

    Um...don't think we saw your entry...SL..or PT skippy. Are you posting or pissing AFTER the fact?
  2. P

    Surf Report

    You mean you gonna skip out on the BIG move skippy?
  3. P

    Surf Report

    As in skippy peanut butter? LOL
  4. P

    Surf Report

    I...I....I...don't know...there is sooo much uncertainty......no clarity.....what do you think? You can predict correct?
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    What Really Counts Getting Started

    true that upward drift is an advantage .....in some ways, however, at the cost of giving up compounding your money that short-term trading affords. And compounding is a huge exponential profit maximizer.
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    What Really Counts Getting Started

    20 times in a row! I'd quit.
  7. P

    What Really Counts Getting Started

    @Gotcha Thanks for the reply. Lets see if others reply. Now i will rattle the cage: You will ALWAYS MAKE MORE MONEY by short term trades than by long term trades. Providing you are skilled in entries...exits...and taking SL's. I will rattle the cage even more. Profit optimization REQUIRES...
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    What Really Counts Getting Started

    Explain why a trader should not risk more 1% or max 2% of an account. If for instance, trading 1 contract of NQ and putting up $500.00 each contract and risking $60.00 to $80.00 trade with hard stoplosses and a win rate of 78% on average. In such a case, is the 1% BS and if it is why? Why would...
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    Surf Report

    @Gotcha Surf doesn't want psychobabble he says so I will be short and to the point. The only way I have been able to have a chance at the game is to maintain a high win rate. Perhaps others theoretically can but I'd like to see the trades of 5 years of full time trading at a 30% win rate be in...
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    Probability Through the Lens of Coin Flipping

    That may depend on the force of the flipper! LOL the distance the coin travels through the air. The thumb flipping action could may it flip slow or fast and the distance traveled while flipping would involve the amount of flips..lots of variables. Now if a machine could exactly duplicate, in...
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    Surf Report

    I got a followup question. When you guys figure win rate do you ignore BE trades in your calculations? For example, say over a week you took 10 trades. 2 were break even, 1 loss 7 winners. What do yu calculate your win rate to be in this case and why? Just a question.
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    Surf Report

    mr volpri will have to answer your question for himself but i will say this: without a doubt a high win rate is one of the most important metrics in trading. Perhaps the most important. It is tied directly to risk of ruin. I know I have probally opened a can of worms here. Many will say that a...
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    Surf Report

    Leaning towards exiting if they turn bullish before the 1000 point crash?
  14. P

    Surf Report

    Surf = Bayes' theorem P (A\B) = P(B\A)P(A) ------------------- P(B) Good luck
  15. P

    YM Magic!

    $5.39 month??
  16. P

    YM Magic!

    MAKE ET GREAT AGAIN!
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    High probability Breakouts

    Aprox 70 to 80% of B.O's From a range fail. So, one strategy is sell at top of range and buy at bottom. One technique. When a breakout does occur wait for a pb that stays out of the range then a resumption of the b.o. before taking a position.
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    Trying to Teach Computers to Think Like Top Traders

    That is precisely his problem per the article. Can't find enough top traders. They don't use their brain power anymore. Like the pretty checkout girl at Wallmarts. Buy something for 1.89 and give her a 20 dollar bill. She hands back your change stuffed with a receipt for you to sort put. Ask her...
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    YM Magic!

    it is. There is a high probabilty you will lose money today!
  20. P

    SMB - The Winning Trader Course

    You nailed it. Anybody wants to charge huge fees in the thousands are out to skin the sheep. There is no secret method. Just the market process. Learn it. Trade it. Takes LOTS of time. LOTS of work.
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