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You just have to go through some pain before you learn something, that's all. Keep in mind that the only way you can make money is to follow your current system, everything else is gambling and a loser's game.

For example when there has been some consolidation and the volume has been relatively low, and then as you watch the stock you see the volume starts to rise and the price reacts and breaks out, at this moment you know how the bigger picture looks like, you know that there are some important...

I guess you are talking about day trading or even scalping, no ? Because if you are swing trading, it really doesn't make sense to watch just one stock. If you are day trading, you simply don't have the time to watch too many stocks at the same time... The more stocks/instruments you watch...

Technically I like TINY and NGEN.

Shares changed hands roughly 30 times yesterday... looks like a classic manipulation... Insiders made 10 mil on that one if they held. Not bad for one day :cool:

Nice work :) I looked at the LEH chart yesterday when you entered the position (almost at the open) - it really takes conviction to enter at such point, so the profit was well-deserved. Cheers !

Experience

I am not sure if I understood correctly but from what you say may I infer that if you had only a small capital to trade, say something below 100,000, then you would commit all of it to day trading since you can make 50 times more with the same amount of money in comparison to position trading...

I don't know. To answer this question you must separate a trader's capital in two equal accounts - one for day trading and the other for swing and position trades. Then compare the equity curves. But to (consistently) achieve 100% annual return with just 5% drawdown... probably only ten out...

Yeah, nice call indeed :) Just don't forget to tell us when you start to cover...

What does this mean? Thanks.

More vs. less random perhaps ? I tend to think that since the price has a fractal structure it would be equally difficult or easy to profit from different time frames. However since there are less traders that shape the smaller fractals, they would be probably more chaotic. Any individual...

What you are saying is that if we don't incorporate labor into the model, we cannot compare the results, because labor has some opportunity cost. This of course is true. I would even say that the opportunity cost of being a day trader is being a swing or position trader :cool: I'd like the...

Thanks CM. What I am trying to figure out is does it pay to jump from longer term to shorter term trades. If I can use your trading as an example, let's say that you are in a position trade (that would depend on your position size I guess). What if the stock you are in has made a nice run up and...

Yes, you are right. If your holding period is shorter you must pay much more attention and devote much more time to trading. But let's say you do that, let's assume that you pay as much attention as is required so as to not miss an opportunity or a signal. What would be the outcome if you...

Is short term trading more profitable than long term trading? (with short term and long term I mean the holding period) I know this has been discussed before, I've read all posts regarding this issue but I want to put it on a more scientific base. First I have to make some assumptions...

The important question is not how much can you make but how much you are willing to risk. Once you determine your risk parameters, all you have to do is trade within that limits and take what the market gives you. Many people would just quit trading if they have 1M :) Others will try to...

New to zoo, you didn't answer my first question: I'd still like to hear what is the time frame of your prediction. Thank you.

If you want to make money - trade small. Good luck :)

If you are short, when are you going to cover, is this a day trade, a swing trade, postion etc... Why do you make a poll? Will you take some actions depending on the result of the poll ?