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The numbers seem big but in 1998, banks estimated their losses in Russia ( after the default) to be $100bn. At that time global gnp was $32trn. So it was 0.3. Given that that was Russia ( with some carry over and a similar amount lost in the Asian problems in late 97 thru early 98), do you...

Very fair point and something I had noticed, yes he may have a vested interest BUT, I should have elaborated more as in the other thread. My point was simply this; various people are presenting arguments in various articles - fine - posters to these boards then cite these articles to back...

I've posted these links in other forums tonight talking about forcasting and recessions but will put them here as well. My point is simply this, despite his success in running a large fund, his ability to forecast the economy and stockmarket seems poor and the derivatives articles questions...

I've never met him or spoken with him. Have got a couple of his books though. In the site I linked in, many of his forecasts are for a long bear market in 2002 or a long sideways market. Maybe he had his clients positioned differently.... I guess I'm simply trying to point out that an...

I'm interested to see if we can get this forum back on track. For those of you who believe we are in recession, can you be more specific about why, what definition you are using. It obviously can't be the standard textbook one. Are you doing your own research or just believing things you...

I know this isn't written by Mauldin, but given his bearish stance over the last 6-7 years and his own forecasting track record, I'm guessing that he uses this type of research / opinion to formulate his forecasts. Thus..... http://www.cxoadvisory.com/gurus/Mauldin/

I think its fair to say that most large financial institutions have people of a similar stature ( ie technical analysts) who could write a book about technical aspects of markets and how their particular company trades. The key differentiator is that 90%+ ( my guess) couldn't trade for...

Oh Here's a gbp / yen CME chart as well. I don't want to comment any further by the way because I know that currencies, including majors can have major moves on a daily basis although I am very happy to admit it is rare. I merely wanted to point out that it does happen. If you believe...

If you mean the majors, please state that more clearly in future. I think you misread what I said before. Sorry for any confusion. Please look again. You will see that on the date in question, I am talking about Pound Yen. I don't have a daily historical spot chart going back that far...

Thank you for those kind words. I believe the challenge was to show such a spike in FOREX, not liquid pairs. There are too many numerous example to show re/de valuations of exotics which resulted in huge moves in a day, far greater than 5%. Soros and Tiger lost huge amount in a day on these...

- Mike, I'm gonna sue your ass!!! I injured myself when I fell off the chair and spat out coffee all over my monitor.....:D LOL

One of the recent editions of S&C had a study on results. If I can find it, I'll post the results. Cheers

Zodiac This is a little off thread, but you mentioned cgq. I'm trying to get in touch with them in the uk with no joy. Would you mind telling me how much you pay to use their service? Thanks United

No, not necessarily. You have to remember than retail forex has no benchmarks and understand the processes used to arrive at highs and lows. I don't know if the mbt explanation of prices was correct or useful. I suspect not as these people often know less than you and I. In the...

Naz You did post on 24th October 2005 .... " I'm a newb to forex...." I guess, anyone reading that and doing the maths would therefore say it's taken you about 3 months to become an expert. Webs of deceit usually fall when the person can't remember what lies they have told and...

Blimey!!! I said I though they looked okay because they keep emailing me with charts of "live" trades called in their monthly training sessions. I guess these guys are all the same. THOSE WHO CAN DO, THOSE WHO CAN'T TEACH. By the way, I notice their settlement offer was to pay $10,000...

It's not a company I've ever seen in person as I'm over in the UK but some of the stuff I've been sent by rs of houston looks reasonable. They may be worth a look as they seem to teach a simple methodology. Anyone know anything about them?

Greatest ever?? Suppose it depends upon which scoreboard you look at. Investment wise, I use the one that says who's got the most $$$$'s is the greatest. Doesn't matter one bit how he got it, the fact is, he has got it. On that score, he's way out in front. :p Other than the elite...