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    Oil Is Going To $35 Per Barrel

    If the USA invades Iran then oil prices could go to $ 100 / barrel or higher.
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    Oil Is Going To $35 Per Barrel

    I remember a Canadian citizen telling me that half the oil that the USA imports comes from Canada.
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    If we go to War with Iran will that be bad for the US Stock Market?

    High oil prices suggests higher oil company stock prices, and higher energy (coal, nuclear) company stock prices. I interpret ATK (military company) stock price trend as up for three years. I suspect war in Iran to accompany an increase in ATK stock price. I suspect war to increase price of BLL...
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    How to avoid drawdown when you increase your position size?

    In my backtesting I find that growth rate is not linear to risk. If risk is doubled then growth rate increases by about 2.5 fold. I have not modeled this extensively. My point is doubling risk might have an unexpected effect on either drawdown and / or capital growth. Your modeling studies might...
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    question about taxes

    If you are trading as a private individual then a short term capital gain gets entered on the front page of the 1040 tax form. The capital gain gets added to income from other sources to calculate adjusted gross income. Remember to check your state income tax return also. State tax returns...
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    Are you a programmer (poll)

    c language c language trading system software 13 years programming
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    Beans in the teens

    I examine monthly charts of corn, wheat, oats, rice and soybeans. I observe corn, wheat, oats, and rice trading at or near 10 year record high prices. Soybean price is about 30 % above the low price of the ten year trading range.
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    Bin Laden Death Report

    It is now over a month since the report of the unconfirmed death of Osama Bin Laden. I find no picture or video of Osama Bin Laden holding the front page of a recent copy London Times or any other dateable item. I believe Osama Bin Laden is dead.
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    Equity Put Call Ratio

    I am not able to find a chart of the CBOE Equity Put / Call Ratio on the web so I made my own. Sometimes the Put / Call ratio shows extreme bullish or bearish psychology coinciding with major tops or bottoms in the general stock market averages. For reference I include the price graph of SPY...
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    Am I wasting time learning Visual Basic?

    I think Visual Basic is a fine choice of computer language to learn. Visual Basic is widely used and it is related to lots of other languages. I believe writing simulation programs improves my trading performance.
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    Google not a buy right now

    I observe GOOG price increasing above historic record high price.
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    What results to look for in backtesting systems?

    If you are trading more than one security then you might want to model the performance of the portfolio. I find sometimes a security might not show a greatly profitable backtest individually but it improves portfolio performance. The risk level is important. I am studying the effect of risk on...
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    What results to look for in backtesting systems?

    You choose. It is like selecting a house to buy. What is best for me might not be best for you. Some people like maximum profit. Some people like to win most of the time. I like to see trading methods and security price histories that show a wide range of profitability regardless of the...
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    3 line break for Dummies

    From Tim Curran http://www.tradingmarkets.com/gall_tlp.site/courses/main/?full=1&id=6068&fwww=1 Every method that I test shows profitable results sometimes.
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    Market or Limit order

    If I want out then I get out. Market order.
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    why does everyone knock CNBC?

    I do not remember making money from anything I learned from CNBC. I keep the TV unplugged now.
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    Dumb money is returning

    Time Magazine of 16 October 2006 page 85 describes this as an "uncertain bull market".
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    Google not a buy right now

    Google symbol GOOG graph shows price trading within the high and low limits of the past 12 months. I see price of GOOG stock rising since the initial public offering August 2004. I recall similar situations where stock price increases above the upper limit of the trading range and continues to...
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    Oh No Briggs And Stratton Say It Isnt So

    I see price decreases about 10 % at the opening. I can lose money because of opening gaps. Gaps are one reason I trade long term. I think Briggs and Stratton symbol BGG might be a good long term investment.
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