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  1. H

    Stocks are random variables

    I find some securities have a history of showing price change continuation, sometimes called trends. Attached is a trading simulation of Walgreens stock (symbol WAG) using random entry and exiting position when price decreases to less than the lowest price of the prior 30 daily sessions...
  2. H

    If so many people are unsuccessful traders...

    I write computer software to test such ideas. I find stopping losses gives results that I do not expect. For example I might observe that a moving average crossover system is unprofitable. I then test if the inverted moving average system is profitable. Since I buy when prices are decreasing and...
  3. H

    The "Im an Idiot" thread

    My mistakes that only happen once do not concern me. My mistakes that happen repeatedly draw my attention.
  4. H

    Sold early and feared of riding profit into loss

    Some of my big winners might show a small unrealized loss soon after purchase. Say I buy a stock at $ 30 / share. My stop loss might be at $ 20 / share. I have a risk budget, say $ 100. I calculate position size so that if price decreases to $ 20 / share (30 - 20 = $ 10 / share) then I only...
  5. H

    Sold early and feared of riding profit into loss

    I find using computer programs to test trading methods eliminates the "sold early and feared of riding profit into loss" thinking. I observe the computer programs showing again and again, using data in some cases 42 years in duration, that simple rules work if I follow them. When I see the same...
  6. H

    Help: Chart experts also please

    Please tell us what method you are using and the purchase price. I suspect you are using a variation of the CANSLIM notion. I suspect a CANSLIM variant because http://finance.google.com/finance?fstype=bi&cid=1400 shows multi year growth in equity and earnings and CANSLIM stop loss is about 7...
  7. H

    support or resistance

    I recognize support or resistance levels when I graph random numbers. I suspect support or resistance levels are an illusion.
  8. H

    is enter or exit point crucial...

    Attached is some data from my files. This data is produced when 10.18 years of daily FRGB stock prices are back tested using a single time constant price breakout system. The data shows results using time constants from 2 to 20 weeks. Please notice that some time constants show overall gains and...
  9. H

    Break-outs and pullbacks

    Fatrat, I buy what might be called "upside breakouts". I do not trade pullbacks. Attached is a little study. I recall examining a list of stocks and testing price breakout systems using 1 % risk. The systems are single time constant systems, in other words if the time constant is 120...
  10. H

    Break-outs and pullbacks

    You might be missing something. The behavior of prices provides information about conditions. I recall instances during what might be called "near the top of the bull market" when price breakouts do not show trend continuation. The lack of trend continuation shows there is not enough buying...
  11. H

    Another One Bites The Dust - Resume Help

    Tell them you were buying and selling houses, fixing them up and making lots of money. Now the real estate market is slow, you need to find other work and you are reentering the computer field.
  12. H

    what do you think of china's future?

    The USA democrats might protect USA jobs and business. China might not be as prosperous after the next USA presidential election.
  13. H

    Cme/cbot Charts Quite Interesting

    CME current stock price might be greater than the initial price by about 1000 % in four years.
  14. H

    how profitable is trading energy futures?

    Here is a monthly oil futures price graph showing about 9 years of data. http://tfc-charts.com/chart/CO/M Futures contracts represent a contract to deliver a commodity at some date in the future. This link might help explain: www.cbot.com/cbot/docs/57670.pdf Stock usually represents part...
  15. H

    my trading strategy will be: 2 b coldblooded

    You are definately executive material.
  16. H

    My music

    I think Distant Blues is better than much of the music I hear on the radio. Do you sell your recordings on the web? Do you have any more music that I can listen to?
  17. H

    Highest inflation in the world 2006

    https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/print/zi.html The UK annexed Southern Rhodesia from the [British] South Africa Company in 1923. A 1961 constitution was formulated that favored whites in power. In 1965 the government unilaterally declared its independence, but the UK did not...
  18. H

    Highest inflation in the world 2006

    http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/02/world/africa/02zimbabwe.html?ex=1304222400&en=e4f95916b4e5d098&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss HARARE, Zimbabwe, April 25 — How bad is inflation in Zimbabwe? Well, consider this: at a supermarket near the center of this tatterdemalion capital, toilet paper...
  19. H

    New to Stock Market

    Tell us how much you are willing to lose.
  20. H

    Trading alone or with other??

    I trade alone. Easier to think and trade contrary to public opinion that way.
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