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I'll set it up at the end of the day if SPX is below 1250 and the Dow is below 11K and RUT below 700. Otherwise, I'd see a bounce as a more likely outcome. Today is just a modest down day so far. If it weren't the seventh in a row I doubt anyone would even notice.

That's the rationale that's being bandied about. Given that, I'm not sure why the long bond was up a full point though. :confused:

SPX 1275 and NDX 1600 got munched on that last hour takedown. It may be no more than that for options. However, if I were about to pull the trigger on a liquidation being long puts on expiry would be one of my favorite days. First you get the benefit of the puts and second you get the...

What the heck the last thread was such a success I thought I'd revive it for tomorrow... :)

Looks like a wait and see so far to me. Neither team has moved the needle too much yet. Since it's expiry week I'd expect more volatility to kick in at some point. However, I must admit to being directionally challenged right now. :)

It may be discounted in after today...

US futures down. Anyone watching Asia?

How about... :D Today the PPT failed to halt the bears and the longs drew in their horns. The VIX spiked above its 200 MA. Followers of Taleb, hoping for a black Monday to justify years of losses started licking their chops. It's likely that a combination of some Fed official speak and...

Just thought I get an early start on the weekend's entertainment. :)

FWIW, I show a buy right here at 37.92 on a short term reversion approach... could be a bit busy with expiry coming up and a down day so you might wait and see if we hit the 37.50 zone and how things go there.

I'll have to do a drive by the next time I am in the area. There area a gazillion condo's in Marina Dely Rey and they keep building more. It sounds somewhat like the Florida situation from what other's have said.

Having grown up in the area (Rancho St) I find it a "bit" of a surprise that the bite is on this fast. It's a desirable area -- although $3M is a big push for most of those places. What part are you in?

I don't see anything happening before the elections. The US bombing Iran will lose the Republicans the elections and likely lead to impeachment hearings as the Dems take control. Since the Iranians are years away by anybody's estimate I don't see the Israeli's making their lives more...

lol... Good point. Got to unsubscribe. Can't take the endless emails -- must be a very slow day.

http://hypertextbook.com/facts/1999/ChrisSantoro.shtml I'd also point out that this is a sign of a really slow afternoon. :D

They produce 2.4M barrels/day. This is a drop in the bucket. :) My SWAG is that something slowed production rather than there is a problem with their total reserves.

I actually would have pointed out that the results seem to have deteriorated in April -- w/l down, PF down, etc.. Too bad we'll never see May. It looked like an interesting project.

What's the old metric -- one month searching aggressively for every $10K in salary sought.

That would be the one.. Thanks.

No problem. I started a bit harsh as I definitely have an opinion about this approach. I actually did trade the techniques for awhile, tried it out with others in private rooms on paltalk (Dr Bob, being one of those others) backtested them and found they didn't work. Also found the...