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    Housing Rolling Along 2

    You didn't ask me what I thought was going to happen in 2011-2012.... but that's another story and I haven't fully worked that through yet.
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    Housing Rolling Along 2

    Yup. Think so too. The only disaster will be the people who panic and sell at 20-30% discounts in 12-24 months (to me, hopefully :) ). But its going to be a slow next 5 years - forget about making a profit on the property appreciation - there won't be any. You'll be lucky to recoup...
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    Physics and Trading? Hmm…….

    First, once people started charting, they looked at the chart and said, "Hey...there are trends here. Let's try a moving average." And they did, and they were profitable. And things were good. Then the moving averages didn't work as well anymore, since everyone was using them. There's...
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    The Freedom Tower

    My father and I used to go down to the WTC on saturdays so he could buy his chartbooks (remember those - before computer charting programs). When I lived in manhattan, I would take the subway to the towers and walk to work. When my wife went to new york for the first time, I took her to...
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    "School sucks...work sucks...life sucks..." Trading "Metal and Goth kick ass"

    Some of those goth chicks are pretty hot. Unless they want to drink your blood. That's not hot. Not at all.
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    Girls, Girls, Girls!

    Yup... that was a great video. Had to run to home depot afterwards. But the girls were nowhere to be seen.
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    Calling all those that were long OIL,GOLD,GAS and SHORT THE $

    I would simply call them 'cash-deprived' or 'asset poor'. who knew that the fed's targeting of assets was specifically aimed against them!?!?!?!?! That story however is still being written... its a "War and Peace" type tome, however.
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    Laurence J. Kotlikoff We are Bankrupt

    My best guess at present is that EUR/USD ranges 1.18-1.32 for the rest of the '06 year and first half of '07. No real analysis beyond that except for a guess. There is room for some USD bullishness. A dollar collapse, though potential, doesn't look like it is in the cards right this minute...
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    Commodities Bull or Bear ?

    ' Man, I hope so, 'cause I'm loading up the truck at those levels.
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    GOLD has topped !

    wooo hoo! what a ride!
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    9/11 Drama comes to ABC on Sunday/Monday

    It projected itself as very damning towards the clinton administration, didn't it? I guess you can decide for yourself where abc's parent is aligned...
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    GOLD has topped !

    MMM.... $595 at present Support $540-$580. May have to start averaging in slowly. Yummy. But don't think we see above $635 anytime soon.
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    How quickly we are switching from an inflationary scenario to a deflationary one. These swings are driving me nuts... Almost bought some LB zeroes at 5.30 yield but was holding out for 5 and a half. Kicking myself now... I don't have a good handle on this market, so I'm out for now...
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    housing short squeeze? -> IYR

    Yup... Best argument that explains the priced in future easing that we are seeing in the shorter end of the treasurys' curve. People can putter along, wounded, but not insolvent under that scenario. The extra time provided allows for redistribution of failed speculation, and absorption of...
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    Looks like not all Southern Women are Dumb...

    Wow. With that picture, I forgive bill for monica. He had no real reference point, I guess.
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    Here is why the world’s smart money is being invested in Brazil.

    Going long brazil right now for the first time probably means you need to have your vision checked. I know a good optometrist... After it blows up and after about 3-4 years, yes I agree. Prefer India, personally.
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    Housing Rolling Along 2

    In fairness, I believe Broward had too many students for that year, so the picture there is somewhat misleading. There are still massive influxes of people into florida - still jobs down here.
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    Housing Rolling Along 2

    Table: American Housing Horror Show: Twice As Many Units Built Than the Demand! End of 2001 End of 2006Q2 Net Change, 4.5 Years Housing Stock 119,116,000 125,800,000 6,684,000 Total Occupied 106,261,000 109,450,000 3,189,000 Excess Built 3,495,000 Total Vacant Year Round...
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    Curse of the 9/11 Widows

    Not to be glib, but what ever happened to all the money sent in from US citizens in that telethon drive, which I think was sponsored by the red cross? Was this the money that was distributed to people as authorized by congress? I don't think so - there were some allegations of...
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    Closed-end Fund Income Investing

    From Sep 1st blackrock distribution release: "The distributions for BlackRock Global Energy and Resources Trust (BGR) and BlackRock Health Sciences Trust (BME) include the Trusts' normal quarterly dividend ($0.375 for BGR and $0.384375 for BME) and a special distribution ($0.685 for BGR and...
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