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"Got 'im! I got 'im!" "Great, kid. Don't get cocky."

According to my volatility measures (many ways to measure based on time frame and period), volatility has not been this low since 1994.

That is so true. I have two systems with only a 4% correlation to each other (on a weekly basis, which is how I trade). The two systems have similar sharpes, but by combining them, my sharpe increases by about 60%. By combining the two systems, my return more than doubles, max drawdown...

"They say there are two sides to everything. But there is only one side to the stock market; and it is not the bull side or the bear side, but the right side. It took me longer to get that general principle fixed firmly in my mind than it did most of the more technical phases of the game of...

This is why I trade long term. Big moves mean big money.

"It isn't as important to buy as cheap as possible as it is to buy at the right time." Jesse Livermore

That's what the media is telling you. Who going to believe? The media or your own lying eyes? This market is purely liquidity driven. That's why all market (stocks, bonds, commodities) are moving together. Today they were all down. Inflation is a great excuse, but the real reason for the...

You truly are a riskarb. What will you do after the bet? Hedge your bet by buying some calls? You can't lose!

That last bottom was in October, a time when the market normally hits a low. Now it's May, a time when the market normally starts a decline.

It's normally not a good sign when the market closes at or near the low of the day.

I don't remember them having Korea, Mexico, and SEK (whatever that is). Are those new?

Had the day off from work, sat at the computer watching the market, did absolutely nothing, almost fell asleep, and made a 2% return. Thank God for long-term trading (end-of-week) and automated trading systems.

I don't necessarily disagree with you, however, I like to keep my prediction short-term. I prefer saying that the market will go down over the next three months. Then, you can ask me for a new prediction a month from now and see what I say. In fact, my system is an end-of-week system, so...

I didn't say straight down for years though. In fact, I believe the stock market will only decline during the summer and bottom out in August or October. At what level, I don't know. Maybe around 1140, which is really only a 15% decline from the top. At that point, assuming earnings don't...

Good call, but don't brag too much (a little bit is OK). I'm also making money on this move, though I'm making more on the declining 10-yr bond than on my S&P position. As I've stated on other boards, I think this market is entirely liquidity driven. Everything (stocks, bonds...

You are right. My error. I forgot that the Euro/Dollar is backwards (down means the dollar is up). Thank God I don't trade currencies.

Everything is down today. Stocks, bonds, gold, oil, dollar. Definitely liquidity driven.

I've been saying the same thing (and I am no doom and gloom person). The markets (stocks, bonds, commodities, real estate) were all liquidity driven upwards and now they'll all collapse.

Maybe you should read America's Great Depression by Murray Rothbard. Even if you disagree with his conclusions, it is obvious that American government was very activist.

That sounds great. Very lucky. Sounds a lot like Martin "Buzzy" Schwartz's wife in Pit Bull.