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The fed is printing because a larger portion of money is going to pay down debt in both the consumer sector and in the business sector. The fed cannot print enough to either A: make up the difference between historical levels of money supply in the economy and the currently depressed levels...

Ghost - What I initially meant wasn't trade in the traditional sense here... It's financial trade i.e - derivatives, rates, etc...that I'm speaking about. There are capital flows and capital flight and that activity I don't think is subject to your point about trade not being zero sum...

I have Murphy's intermarket book. Was interesting, but very monotone in the theme being conveyed... You might considering reading the futures game. It won't give you macro trades to follow, but its a very good hedging and futures book...

These contests remind me of a slew of new crowdsourcing sites that I've seen lately. Crowdspring for one is a graphic design site offering new designers excess to a world of corporate clients. Over 300 different people submit complete projects for each contest on average and hope to win. Many...

The truth is the vast majority of these situations, any Market - bonds or equities will have a quick selloff and then rebound by the end of the week under ANY politically driven situation. Security is just a way of saying "we need a slush fund for our politics"

What about IV on UST options? Seems like waiting a day or so for the Fed to act and have the implied volatility settle down might lower option prices a bit....for both views.

Maybe the pool of debtors is actually drying up and they need a little head to foment that Fosters to encourage lenders.... in otherwords.. a headfake.

Maybe the TV show "Lie To Me" will have a cameo appearance with him on. The Brit guy will say at the end of the show "I guess that ones a slam dunk eh"

Maybe they could announce a buyback and convert all their shares to Iphones..... Only 900 million more phones to go...

I can't find it. Looked on a bunch of sites too...

I think in that context, its more like a relationship of "You let me be a producer, and I'll let you be a Consumer" is at play. The thing is when the machinations of finance get involved, you have leveraged trades effecting relationships and you start to see that the original setup (you let me...

Technically the engine underneath Trend Following is essentially being long volatility. Thats what drives the returns. You can be following anything and call it a trend, the distribution of returns in trend following tends to be fat tailed because real Market returns are fat tailed. Regarding...

Happy Halloween Trader, BTW - zero sum trade in whatever context you assume I mean and whatever context I contend, seems to be subject to confusion because the relationship and its context was never defined. From the book: "In a very real sense, we all compete to enrich others."...

This is like the 3rd comment that is falling over this zero-sum comment. The bigger economy is zero sum. Unless you are printing money over the short term, you're not magically getting any positive sum, positive carry wealth transfer going on here. There is NO free lunch. Aside from the...

Last I read, he was in fact up single digits YTD. I doubt an attempt at being contentious by invoking some comments about an illiquid currency pair is going to bring him into the big money this year... or next. His story on global growth back in late 09 was fairly accurate however (note that...

Amibroker - $3-400 price

Marquis, "Creature is absolute nonsense. Written by a guy who also writes about ufos chemtrail and other crap. I'm shocked anyone takes it seriously"...... You sound like someone who thinks they can order their economy from an Ikea catalogue and put it together in between coffee sips...

Just tell all the single chicks you spend you're day trying to get filled on the open. I'm sure they'll love that.

Jack, my guess is lithium. You sound pretty familiar with it yourself.

Actually its not that at all. The only anthropological framework that works for describing the events and process of the credit crisis is that of Rene Girard's Scapegoat theory. The banking system knew it was failing and then served to act it out... end of story You only need to have a...