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Will I agree with you! This can lead to a disastrous overall result! -------------------------------------- RISK is married with REWARD. -------------------------------------- The most frustating thing is that trading currently eats 14 !!! hours of my daily time...

Unbelievable nice linear tends. Awesome! FORCASTABLE! NO RANDOM WALK!!!

I have made a lot trades the last two days with following results on my account: 01/22/07 +12.5% 01/23/07 +32.3% The bad point is that yesterday I had nearly full exposure of my account into on single trade. I was risking more than 80% of the assets. It turned out that I had a 30%...

cashmoney69 AAPL is behaving very clever. It will become a mulimedia company. The access devices will be provided as well which differntiates them form other companies. Very good marketing and community. And the stock will head up with their success. Nevertheless I will only trade...

ES335 this may give you more information. Loss series can be very long it there are phases of no 'memory' in the market. And then you should decrease your %-bet according the Kelly formula - and not even have the same or an increased bet size. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler's_fallacy...

Finally the RUT Signals: Down since 785 TS 790/10 Next signal Up TS 790 (TS 780/10) System: a) Stop 10 TS 10 PT 25 (10 points gain) b) Stop 10 TS 10 PT 10 (10 points gain) Graphics shows a)

The NDX retraced 100% of it's up-move in the 10 day 30 point grid window. Signals: Down since 1780 TS 1790/10 Next signal Up TS 1800 (TS 1790/10) Systems: a) Stop 20 TS 10 PT 50 (50 points gain) b) Limit 10 S 20 PT 10 (countertrend 50 points gain) c) Stop 20 TS 20 PT 50 (60 points...

The SPX retraced 50% of it's up-move in the 10 day 30 point grid window yesterday. Signals: Down since 1425 TS 1430/5 Next signal Up TS 1430 (TS 1425/5) System: Stop 30 TS 5 + evtl. PT 30

The INDU retraced 5/8 of it's up-move in the 10 day 30 point grid window yesterday. Signals: Down since 12540 TS 12510/30 Next signal Up TS 12510 (TS 12480) System: no big beneficial in this time frame general trend 1 year is up

It's a more than 2 hours video. Focus on the last 15 to 20 minutes. Very interesting. a) Options are Volatility (dominant factor) b) Volatility reverts to it's historically mean (no ever lasting trends) c) realized volatility has persistance (memory => forecast possible) d) alpha is in...

RUT and NDX forcasted a drop of INDU and SPX two days in advance...

cashmoney69 It's clearly AAPL making the race. +700% in 3 years! I attached a comparison between AAPL, GOOG, YHOO, AMZN and EBAY. Interesting...

See the INDU, SPX, NDX and RUT in one graoh over 10 days attached. DOW is more than 100 points down from yesterday's close!!!

I read about the Chernoff bound: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chernoff_bound If the coin is noticeably biased, say coming up on one side 60% of the time, then we can guess that side with 95% accuracy after 150 flips. Translated to trading: If the strategy is noticeably with an edge...

On the 2 point grid we have following results: Long since 782 TS 782 on 2 point grid Reverse position if TS is triggerd (applying TS of 2 points)

The information for the RUT is: Long since 785 TS 780 on 5 point grid

The information for the RUT is: Long since 785 TS 780 on 5 point grid

The information for the NDX is: Neutral Long, if 1810 is crossed up. Apply TS 1800 (trail at 10 point grid) of Short, if 1780 is crosed down. Apply TS 1790 (trail at 10 point grid)

The information for the Dow is: Short since 12450 TS is at 12570 @ a 30 point grid.

Germetric growth of that last twelve days is +5.5% per trading day. With 5% growth I would double account size every 14 (70/5) trading days. There is still big variance - less control in my trading. To get this performance I risked up to 2/3 of my account in active trades. Risk in % of...