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That would be the virus choking everyone..

Tonight went well: 19 trades, 20 contracts 63.2% win rate avg win: HKD$402.00 avg loss: HKD$337.71 total pts: 50 profit: HKD$2500 commish: 20 rt@HKD$30 = HKD$600 net profit: HKD$ $1900 = USD$243.12 Not bad for quitting after the first hour (I felt like I was getting...

At current exchange rates, the margin is USD$1,873 For realtime data and charts I use IB + FuturesTrader. I might move up to esignal when they offer HK, but their package prices (plus region fees) are totally wack for people who are only interested in a handfull of contracts/stocks.. (it...

Ummmmm. Not if you don't elect MTM treatment for whatever entity you're trading through. I've never marked anything to market for the IRS. Give it up man.

(epistemological epics was taken) I've learned a lot from some of the journals here, and I thought I'd attempt to 'give-back' a little by starting my own. As a trader, or would-be trader, I'm torn between two worlds-- neural systems design (at which I'm slowly getting much better), and...

I have purchased JMA. It is totally bada** for my applications (smoothing inputs to neural nets, mainly). I particularly like the phase adjustment ability. If I ever unshackle myself from my day job, I will probably purchase the esignal versions of the jurik tools. You can make some very...

I think you mean 'European or African'. "I'm not dead yet." --laz

Nope. Me neither. You have to learn to live with low r^2 values. But forecasting stochastic on the ES 3 minutes into the future is a little easier, and might be an edge.. I'm experimenting with using basic indicators as a 'bias', and then NN as the trigger..

Normalization of inputs. normalization of inputs nrmlztion of npts nrmzshn fnpts ++-+---+----++ Keys to the kingdom right there. Seriously though. Make the number of hidden neurons small. Select inputs that aren't correlated. Play with TDNN (i.e. inputs are price, lag(1) of...

Jurik's WAV can help with this. I've just started playing with it in my NN work.. WAV compresses one signal through time.. their DDR product (indistinguishable from magic, to me) decorrelates and normalizes your inputs (ie horizontal compression) What people seem to forget is that, with...

When your walk-forward tests with a statistically significant number of trades fall apart compared to the optimization period. The ratio of backtest(optimized)/walkforward test profits should remain relatively constant over multiple walkforwards. regards, laziz

I have an independent std medical plan (not hmo, ppo, or any of that mess). I got it while I was an independent consultant, and kept it because the thought of paying COBRA rates if I lost my present job was a killer.. Even though it's more expensive, it's better (for me) in the long run...

Fat tails will get you every time..

FWIW, when my non-techie friends ask for system advice, I usually send them to Dell, with an admonishment to purchase the 3-year onsite warranty. I build my own desktops and servers, but my support experiences with my dell laptop have been phenomenal.

You're right, it's not a fad. However, my particular niche over the past two years with my client (fortune 50) has been fixing projects mangled by ill-planned outsourcing. I'm not talking about just fixing the code either, although there can be a lot of that. (Is there a Mumbai Institute...

ipaq + verizon pc card + $90/mo for 3g service. the ipaq runs java, so no problem. Find a utility to turn tws sideways on the screen, and you have a nice trading tablet.

Bowel Deception? :eek:

:eek:

I just watch the stochastic of the 8BALL-OUIJA spread.