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  1. S

    The Surf Report

    with oil down, how long will it be before IRAN starts talking war to get the price back up? I had USO puts up on the screen, had to take a lengthy phone call, and came back, and the opportunity was gone. . .
  2. S

    The Surf Report

    i hope that this is the big collapse. . . similar to July 2002 I went reshort on the DJX at 12:30 pm, around 11325. . . lousy timing as I had to finish a work project. . . i am one of those corporate bitches, without the noose-tie keep up the great calls surf sportsguy
  3. S

    The Surf Report

    I closed mine Friday, still have the QQQQ shorts, and expect this week to be similar to the July 4th week of the summer of 2002, when there will be a second opportunity to go short at a higher price sportsguy
  4. S

    Black Friday

    if quarter ending week is down, should everything change on the following quarter opening week? shorter going into the weekend
  5. S

    The Surf Report

    the next big tradeable wave in oil is expected to be down, with the strengthening dollar. Surf is trying to catch that wave when it starts, but i suspect that its a bit farther away as he is usually weeks.months early on these types of trades Correct on CROX, surf was, and i wish i had held...
  6. S

    The Surf Report

    True, as the human society moves from one of its more peaceful time periods into one of its more tumultuous periods, with energy and religion being foremost in the upheavals. sportsguy this time, it won't be different, but will be different for the participants. . .
  7. S

    The Surf Report

    am still long since last tuesday. . . my model continues to show underlying buying strength, came close to a sell at the end of last week, but did not roll over. over invested my cash account by $65, got a bit too excited. . sportsguy
  8. S

    I went from $7,000 to $52,000

    I went from $90,000 to $500,000 in my IRA, and now its at $15,000. . . . its not the end of the world, just requires the realization that there is a million different ways to make money, and more than one skill to master. there is no one silver bullet for everyone, but there will be a silver...
  9. S

    The Surf Report

    from AegeanCapital, top ten market timer: (1-28-08) Notice that the McClellan Oscillators are 1-2 days away from overbought territory, yet, price hasn't even managed to overcome resistance, yet. (1-28-08) We got a reversal today, but unless the BuySellEquilibrium model gets above the zero...
  10. S

    The Surf Report

    i closed my SSO at about 10:10 at 69.75 for an 8%+ gain for the trade. . . now, i am in no man's land, with this stupid day job because i suck at trading profitably. . . but getting better sportsguy
  11. S

    what trade to put on in this mess

    i trade the DJX puts, but only puts, as the premiums for calls don't make the trade as profitable as puts. . . also XAU puts, for gold decline. . . i buy 2-3 strikes in the money, and try to catch a 300-400 point swing in the dow, which is 2-3 + point swing in the put option. i sell on...
  12. S

    The Surf Report

    surf, i went to the USMMA, US merchant marine academy to be a ship captain. During freshman year in 1976, my economics professor taught us about options. . . I started trading them in 1982, after i got a job and had some money The first or second options trade was a 10 bagger, bought...
  13. S

    The Surf Report

    surf, I had an earlier Quote Trek model than that. . . circa 1985 and i traded off it while piloting an oil tanker around ny harbor. . . and i have witnesses! sportsguy i told sunny last night that at times like this, you have to hold your nose and buy. . . I had posted a note from...
  14. S

    The Surf Report

    trading off delayed web charts at a day job just doesn't cut it. oh well, closed final djx puts and long SSO. . . looking for SSO to return to the 75 - 80 level, before continuing down i wonder what will happen if the ultra long ETFs suffer a big enough decline that they hit zero. . ...
  15. S

    The Surf Report

    of course, i am now out of my meetings. . . have been in since 8:30 trading and day jobs don't mix sportsguy
  16. S

    The Surf Report

    Oct 87 Black monday was the monday after expiry. . . correlation if any of 2 observations, is not sufficient to draw any predictable conclusions, however, have all my put close orders in, as I have a dept meeting from 9 to 10, the forecasting system upon which i designed, the database...
  17. S

    The Surf Report

    I made grad school MBA tuition on Black monday in 1987, and this situation is not the same as back then. . . this pattern is a slower version of the long term capital management implosion, where there are underpinning weaknesses which are being slowly absorbed in an orderly fashion. An...
  18. S

    The Surf Report

    XAU Feb 165 gold puts working out nicely DJX Mar 127 puts working out nicely ALC purchase profitable SUNH purchase under water a few other long term longs were bought. . . slightly underwater a few other bank puts bought, slight profit. . sportsguy
  19. S

    The Surf Report

    already done earlier in the day, too early, but price only 10 cents too high. . 10.18 AM hey, i have a non trading day job sportsguy
  20. S

    The Surf Report

    isn't that was trading is, just different instruments? BTW, i will post a graphic, you won a sit and go FullTiltPoker tournament the other night. . LOL! sportsguy
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