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There is a lot of valuable information that can be shared since a successful approach is not a monolithic system of buy and sell signals and could never be. Market behavior is a living thing, resulting from the actions of people who are continuously learning from previous behavior. Rules change...

I expect the rally to be something that will bring 10 Yr Notes from 109 to 113 (or 114) in about three weeks.

That would be a very good idea. I finally discovered last week that bond matters were mainly discussed in the Miscellaneous Futures section. There are also some sharp people there.

Which broker do you use?

I was also thinking that no one wants to be long OR short huge size before the weekend and maybe also before the FOMC minutes Monday. Bonds made a nice come back from this morning but, along with stocks and oil, posted a very small daily variation. The barrage of important announcements and...

Your premature celebration combined with bonds ending higher confirms expectations expressed at the beginning of this thread:

Treasuries right now are more sensitive to the <i>freedom</i> the Fed has to increase interest rates than <i>pressures</i> on the Fed to increase interest rates. I've been watching the bond market's reactions to stock and oil prices on an intraday basis and noticed that bonds didn't care about...

The global market consensus expressed this week by stock, bond and commodity prices is that economic growth is threatened by high gas prices and by the Fed’s reaction to inflation. Oil prices have been going down steadily lately but the main concern is about the Fed’s reaction, a typical...

Options certainly require extra tweaking. Generally, I prefer to buy one expensive option instead of several cheap ones because doing so is much less risky. Minimizing risk is my priority. I have a lot of confidence in my target prices and I let profits run wild as long as my target prices are...

Thanks, although I feel worse than before. Hard to make profitable calls with markets that just sit there, doing nothing, especially with options.

UPDATE Early last week, markets were showing signs of needing direction and after the release of strong economic data, the immediate reaction of stocks, bonds and oil prices was often to go down at the same time which indicated a fear of higher interest rates -- no other interpretation -- but...

Will liquidate long position on YM (with OCT05 YM 105 calls) at market open.

THE WEEK IN REVIEW Stable oil prices contributed to stock market gains but didn't do much to appease inflationary fears. The bond market was particularly weak. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- Transactions made: Sept 26th, on market open -...

I liquidated half of a long position in stocks today at 3:50 pm (instead of the whole position) based on the following factors: 1. The difference between the target price and the current price was still interesting but not enough to justify the amount of committed capital anymore. 2. Keeping...

mujoh and RC speak the same language. Interesting.

ERRATA: The 09-25-05 08:43 PM post contained two errors. The information should be 8 OCT05 OYMC 105 calls at $470 each (=$3,760) instead of 4 OCT05 OYMC 105 calls at $940 each (=$3,760). 8 x OCT05 OYMC 105 call @ $520 = $4,160.00 instead of 4 x OCT05 OYMC 105 call @ $1,040 = $4,160.00

Liquidating half of my OCT05 OYMC 105 calls on market close.

Excellent list, Nihaba. I don't use the "obvious stuff" either.

It would be difficult to trade profitably on the basis of that information because the markets are paying more attention right now to what Greenspan recently said about the US economy being flexible enough to adapt to higher energy prices. But it's definitely something people have in the back...

Established long oil position with remaining cash. The trend is still upward, almost flat, but my long oil position representing a small fraction of my portfolio will constitute a temporary source of profit whenever oil spikes and if oil doesn't spike, so much the better for my stocks and bonds.