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Actually, Oct. 30-day Fed Funds futures (ZQ) currently indicate 95% probability of a raise today, using the average of bid and ask (96.2625).

To get any meaningful advice, it might be helpful for you to indicate what the busted trade was -- currency pair, price and time, incl. your time zone.

Your best sources of info would be the websites of CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) and NFA (National Futures Association). CFTC is a US Government agency, while NFA is an industry SRO (self-regulatory organization). There's lots of useful, relevant info to be found there on all...

Yes, there were 2 closely related threads, started by TriPack... well worth bookmarking and systematically going over: Methods and Systems Only Gems: Methods and Systems

2cents -- there is, of course, no GBP/CAD futures cross. iza -- USD/CAD front month future, 6CZ5, had a daily volume of 32K contracts, and GBP/USD future, 6BZ5, 54K. More relevant to what you're saying, I see from my charts that during the half-hour period from 8:15 to 8:45 am ET on Thursday...

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Well, you could do worse than start here: http://www.futurestruth.com/topten.htm. Note that while their evaluation methodology is generally considered objective / unbiased, it's got one (major) drawback: everything is based on 1 contract. No money management of any kind. However, that...

Yes, there is a TICK-NYSE indicator, derived by the exchange itself. According to James Altucher's Trade Like a Hedge Fund, Ch. 5 "Using the TICK", it is computed once per second: "the number of stocks that ticked upward (within the past second) minus the number of stocks that ticked...

I'd hate to get further away from the (worthwhile) subject of this thread / poll, but... regarding that link... for someone obsessed with deriving and presenting all kinds of statistics, his "95% Confidence Intervals" in table 3 are completely wrong, by 2 orders of magnitude. Then again, the...

I've had good experience with http://www.imageshack.us/, a free site.

Take a look at this fairly long list of MT4 brokers, posted here last month: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=814840

Actually, "no spread", as in "bid = ask" does happen on IB IDEALPro, although rarely and usually in crosses, not majors. What you are neglecting is that the market makers -- putting up bids and offers, only the best of which we see -- may not trade with each other.

http://www.alertfx.com/

As much as I'd like to, I am unable to vote, either, for one of the reasons stated above.

Agree that it's a good idea, but the poll categories themselves... 1) 0-5% monthly is a pretty wide range. It covers some of those who haven't found a way to make a living in forex yet, as well as some of those who have. Come to think of it, the majority of all hedge funds and CTAs out...

http://www.forexfactory.com/index.php?page=calendar You can jump to any forward date. You can also set your time zone. I especially appreciate their (subjective, of course) indications of expected Low - Medium - High Market Impact on volatility. They are color-coded, perfect for a quick...

I don't trade the looney, but I believe what you're describing -- fixed quotes, with a 50-pip spread, currently 1.1850 / 1.1900 -- is something that's true on IB every day, in the early evening, not just today. I've always taken that to mean simply that none of the 4 banks / liquidity...

That would be Andrew Spanton of GlobalFX LLC, banned here. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/search.php?s=&action=showresults&searchid=880729&sortby=lastpost&sortorder=descending

I think you were going for "delusional", as opposed to "disillusioned". :)

Steve, thanks for the info... good to see per-trade limits finally posted for IDEALPro. And raised from the previous (hidden) 1.5M limit. However, disappointing to see them still a fraction of displayed inside bid / ask size, most of the time. Particularly for cable, normally quoted up to...