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He simply picks a side and then shifts the bias to his position bias. It's like crazy town around here, seems like only three of us actually witnessed the massacre this guy endured last fall.

"Modern markets". The crowd is herded into a compressed range, then a binary move (liquidity pulled at the right time). Did you forget about the move of 250 ES points in 5 days 3 weeks ago? I didn't realize recency bias expired within the month.

The bottomline is that you have to understand WHICH markets you can pull off the averaging down methodology. The price structure of stock index futures (the vast majority of the time) is going to be mean reverting and enable a profitable exit on the scale (typically on the scale down buy, not...

Maybe I'm in the minority here, but I do think Volpri offers some value. I realize that these discussions are pretty binary, not much left for nuance (it wasn't like this in the old days, but alas...). I think there is a good deal of value in studying the time of day reversal patterns as well...

Back in the late 90's I used PC Quote / Real Tick and that was the second best stand alone for drawing tools. Trading View has some great "hidden" drawing tools that most people overlook.

Yes, several other cycle followers have early November pegged for a cycle low. I'm not as negative on cycle analysis as Scataphagos, but in my experience it requires an incredible amount of patience for it to play out. The other aspect is the "right translation", which has a way of allowing...

:thumbsup::D

Truth be told, they have a few drawing tools on there that are great, but I've never immersed myself in the "sharing ideas, following ideas" aspect of the site.

Remarkable chart.

A film that gets better with each passing year.

He's figured it out now. When the VIX breaks out he goes MIA; doesn't even leave a goodbye note. He tried the risk free close trades back during the 2016 turmoil and it left a mark; now he knows better.

Tested the flattish 200 day MA once again. I actually thought this was in the cards a week or so pre-FOMC to force their hand into a bigger rate cut. I was wrong, it was postponed till afterwards. Looks a lot like the panic lows of Feb 2018.

Surprised boyd still has a functioning liver.

I hear this all the time..."When was the last time..." and yet nobody can remember 6 months ago or Feb 2018 or Aug 2015. Remarkable.

Reminds me of the Par 67 course I first started playing on when I was about 11-12. The old timer's would ask what I shot (not knowing the par for the course). A glorified Par 3 course basically but my scores sure sounded good.

what's the course rating and slope from your tees?

What the "bleeping" hell has taken you so long to get to this point?

Russell has been doing that for the past month. 1-2 days a month it does a moonshot to clear out the range then resumes the above. Too many crappy insignificant companies in that index and no FAANGS to garner buying interest.

All of the above. Unless you have a genius emotional IQ, you will be prone to going tilt as the market moves against you. It has a slightly better chance of working if you pre-set the orders and don't sit on front of the screen as market is moving against you.