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Its very possible for billions of people to all believe the same thing and still be wrong. There are 2 billion Christians in the world and a billion Hindus. One of them is wrong. According to Islam, both.

It was a big surprise to me a few years back when I realised I found economics and geo-politics personally interesting. I Googled quite a bit on the subjects, I watched some terrific interviews with renowned experts, I bought some interesting books, I had a subscription to The Economist...

I'm happy to admit I buy books which I sometimes do not understand. But they're written by clever experts and I hoped to learn something: I suppose that's why they were written. Taleb writes things that are understandable and enjoys talking down to everyone: its an unpleasant character defect.

I find he's a clever man, and one who never lets you forget it.

Its widely known that the first flu jab of your life often causes a flu-like reaction. After that, it usually doesn't. I'm not having a flu jab this winter because it would be my first flu jab and I don't want to take the risk of being physically depleted if I am then going to come into contact...

This is quite vitriolic.

So your opinion is your experts are better than everyone else's. Well, that may likewise be found to be true, but right now, to make a judgement on which of two experts is the better epidemiologist, you'd have to be a better epidemiologist than both of them. I don't know your background but I...

You could be proven right in good time. But right now you have no evidence to support your conclusions and no expert authority or privileged insight. I never ask the man in the street, which is what we all are in epidemiology, what's his opinion on Donchian Channel break-outs as opposed to use...

As long as the medical profession persist in keeping control of vaccinations we are never going to get on top of this virus. It will take years for the population to plod through hospitals and GP surgeries by appointment to get their jabs from nurses and doctors. These people are in short supply...

When I get this covid vaccination, its going to be a real shot in the arm......

The amount of testing that has been done on this vaccine has made the regulators' job much easier so they were able to make a judgement much faster than in other cases. I can point out that the flu jab which is accepted by millions of vulnerable people every year is not the same vaccine every...

This particular vaccine is not a virus and does not contain parts of the virus, it contains protein which binds the virus inside the body's cells. So its not a living organism as such, its inert. Actually, vaccines are routinely given to people who do not have the infection in question. All...

I highly doubt the covid19 vaccines would have been released if not safe for the general population. These vaccines are not just "shots in the dark" if you'll pardon the expression. The medical/pharmaceutical world has been working on coronavirus vaccines since at least the time of the Sars and...

Its not hard to credit that the combined governments of the world get things wrong, so things half-arsed and too slow. What's a little harder to credit is that if you're right and they are so wrong that its obvious they are very very wrong, how come not a single one of them reverses course and...

If your data is the same as that available to the governments, but proves what you say, that the policies followed so far have failed, why are they continuing and repeating defective measures? Its sure as anything the entire UK will go into another lockdown after Christmas so if your...

Lockdowns are believed to work by the vast majority of governments and medical authorities across the globe. I stand behind the expert majority on that one. The risk is admitted to be very low, and its been repeatedly said that the major health risk for most people comes not from the virus but...

I just find it a bit odd that while you're absolutely against the covid crisis being a fraud or a hoax, yet you absolutely say that governments are using lockdowns etc. to spread fear and get control of people. Sorry if I wasn't clear, I didn't mean to suggest you thought the virus was not...

I'm almost exclusively long-term trading forex off daily charts. When considering a new or revised strategy I tend to look back for a year (but excluding 2020). The strategy must have a positive win rate or I probably won't do any further work on it. Yes, I know negative win rates are viable if...

Some covid responses have been effective and some haven't. That's the way with governments, they're usually inefficient organisations run by politicians who are more interested in keeping power and evading responsibility. If there was factual evidence for covid being a fraud or a hoax or...

I can't believe all the governments who have reacted in similar ways to covid actually wanted to sabotage their own economies and subject their own authority and credibilities to the ultimate test. Its so far against their own interests that other theories are literally incredible. It defies...