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Some of my best trades have been leaning hard on a utility stock I follow using call options and owning the stock.

Wow, Baron stepping out. Nice to see

No. Usually excess goes on for awhile. That's part of the point, that I'm glad to see some signs of excess. Its like a signpost along the road. Helps to know where you are. A bull market without signs of excess isn't a bull market, in my opinion. It's easy to look back at the last bull and see...

Look I know this sounds condescending, but I'll say it anyway for those of you under 30. Once you've seen a few market cycles of bull and bear, it all starts to be very predictable. You just see things that don't make any sense get pumped up to absurd levels, then the depression that follows. It...

Poor Baron. He's home going, "Why didn't think of that"? Those MF's don't have s---t compared to my site!

Use your imagination. Haha

It's all about how a market reacts to the news, the news itself being usually not that important, just basically whether it's good news or bad news. Stay tuned.

:strong:. How much do you charge for this?

I remember the bull market of the 80's. It was so much fun. Now there's so much denial going on, political correctness. Hard to read things that way.

My next question is, who is the government going to villain-ize the next time it all falls apart? If you can figure it out, that's probably where you should invest. After you have sold too soon, you can turn on the TV and watch Elizabeth Warren screech in front of Congress.

And lack thereof. It's pretty simple. The emperor has no clothes, but some keep talking about them anyway. I was really getting worried before this thread, that this bull market had few signs of excess. Then there was the trader for a hedge fund in the Hamptons who thinks he's the new wolf of...

I understand cash flow

:wtf:.

Nice inside baseball from a pro. More, more!

Ok I stand corrected so far. I agree that lots of you were priced out. That's the downside of inflation. Still looking for your version of Martha Stewart, if any. I think we need another thread to discuss this stuff.

There may be another reason for the rise in renting vs home ownership. Picture your favorite millennial in front of A. A computer or B. A table saw. Which makes more sense? If they can't push a button and get it done, it ain't happenin. Thirty years ago young women idolized Martha Stewart. Who...

Ya know, you guys are all talking RE and houses, copper seems pretty washed out and unlikeable at 2 dollars. I've watched it rally in the face of uncertainty here. Yes I know it's trading above 2 now. Seems like a pretty low risk long if what you guys are saying is true--i mean the good part...

I feel like I'm missing something here. Is it me or is this Obvious City and I just showed up? Isn't this just bell curve analysis? A certain percentage of the trading over this time period will fall within the range based on current vol, interest rates, etc. Isn't that just black scholes and...

They are useful for certain situations, like you think the market will move violently, but not sure which way. Sometimes both, then you can leg out. Or you expect a range to hold after a high volatility period, then you can sell it expecting a vol contraction. There again you can leg out or...

Again, to what degree of certainty.