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    EurUsd

    Choppy in front of tomorrow's meeting. Not fun to trade. I would just back off and let the market decide.
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    lack of credit in spy bull put spreads

    Not sure I'd want to be short put premium here. Watching Euro, Deutsch Bank continue to trickle down. Now the Aussie, Kiwi selling off. I felt as if as long as those two held up we'd be ok, as there was at least some risk taking going on. TLT calls, anyone?
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    EurUsd

    EUR looking not so well right now
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    The ACD Method

    It's sort of unbelievable that after all we've been through and having to listen to lectures from government officials, Dodd, Frank, the media, the president etc. about all the excess and how they were going to clean it all up, we still have a bubble.
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    The ACD Method

    That didn't sound right. I meant it in a funny way
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    The ACD Method

    I would love to see an inflation adjusted view of college professors and private school salaries post WWII. I have some anecdotal evidence but I'd like to see numbers first. If you want, start another thread and we'll take this outside.
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    Long and Short ATM Straddles are Dead Money - But a very accurate indicator of future stock movement

    If you are saying there is a skew away from the strike, I'd love to see that over time. Put it together w volume and open interest, maybe there is something. Usually it ends up as a bell curve centered around the strike, I'm guessing. So option sellers would be favored, with the occasional blowout.
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    Long and Short ATM Straddles are Dead Money - But a very accurate indicator of future stock movement

    Ok the short straddle closed quite a bit above its upper band. Whatever you want to call it, that trade didn't work. When questioned about it, you shrugged it off. Yes or no?
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    Long and Short ATM Straddles are Dead Money - But a very accurate indicator of future stock movement

    Ok volume and open interest. But you didn't say that. If so it's interesting. Do you want to repostulate?
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    Long and Short ATM Straddles are Dead Money - But a very accurate indicator of future stock movement

    OP, it would help if you clarified your intentions. Being wrong is ok, I (we) might still learn something yet. You have a couple of broken trades in a short period of time. Shrugging them off won't work. Try being short the spread X 100. Then tell me how you would have felt Saturday morning.
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    The ACD Method

    My thoughts are Greece, Spain, Portugal, and now Italy. But I would play it with puts, because we are still shrugging off bad news, meaning volatility ahead if it is indeed distressed. Put time on your side. The real estate market peaked in the second half of 2005, last cycle. Give or take.
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    What I'm Struggling with - Execution of the Edge

    Do you have anyone in your family, grandparents, uncles, father, mother, cousins who are risk takers? Card players, speculators, small business owners, anything else that requires putting their livelihood on the line or just like to engage in games of chance? How do you view money? Is the money...
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    The ACD Method

    I keep thinking there's an obvious trade in here somewhere, one that you look back years layer and say, "It was so apparent I can't believe I didn't buy or sell (xyz)." Gold maybe. Sometimes I feel like the character David from "An American Werewolf in London" who is slowly transitioning from...
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    The ACD Method

    Well put. There's just a lot of anecdotal evidence lately of students who have graduated and seem hopelessly in debt. A law graduate in Cal. sued her alma mater over not being able to find a job after graduation. And we have countries on the ropes. Greece, Spain, Portugal, now Italy. Not new...
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    The ACD Method

    I would agree. It just seems that there's more sources of debt excess than there used to be, not just housing. Conversely, we have insurance companies and pension funds starving for yield. Low growth and lots of debt. Strange world.
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    What I'm Struggling with - Execution of the Edge

    It's sort of like whether you are watching two featherweight fighters go toe to toe or two heavyweights. Most people want to see two heavyweights, and that's where the money is. There's always a chance you'll see something really big fall hard.
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    What I'm Struggling with - Execution of the Edge

    Most of us have little idea of the extent to which we are conditioned.
  18. C

    This is What’s Cannibalizing the US Economy

    There's just got to be a huge placebo effect to most of this stuff.
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    What I'm Struggling with - Execution of the Edge

    Try cutting your size down to a meaningless level. Then build from there. That's what it sounds like. What experience do you have with poker, blackjack, bridge, or other games of chance? An analytical background is not going to help you. Do you believe you can be rewarded for very little effort...
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