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  1. bone

    China’s Australian coal blacklist now official

    Canada was going to let the Chinese PLA do arctic warfare training in Canada until it became public and caused a shitstorm. The Trudeau government invited the Chinese People's Liberation Army for joint training at the Canadian Forces Base at Petawawa in the province of Ontario last year, months...
  2. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    The list of currencies pegged to the USD is a long one as I recall. I’ve always been amused by the CCP insisting that the Yuan become an international reserve currency - while also insisting that the PBC maintain a substantial currency desk tasked with pegging the Yuan to the USD.
  3. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    The history of the British Pound the past 105 years is a history of crisis after crisis.
  4. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    Japan has the largest debt-to-gdp ratio for major economies, and they have run these huge deficits for the past 30 years. Many like to point to Japan's tame inflation rates and interest rates. But there is no "free lunch". Japan also has shown an average growth rate of about 1% over the past...
  5. bone

    Xi is waging more than a trade war

    When you have an unparalleled military industrial complex and a political elite that feeds off of it - that is correct. Having said all that - China isn't helping dissuade anyone's fears or apprehensions. Far from it.
  6. bone

    The WTI 4/20/2020 debacle...TAS was a part of it it seems.

    The very definition of "TAS" is an invitation for "M".
  7. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    Why did Keynes (of all people, how ironic) come hat in hand to Washington DC after the War looking for money when MMT and the printing press was all the Kingdom required? o_O
  8. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    Very good explanation in the video for the financially cleared Swaps. I would just note that the HH contract is financially settled before the Nymex first notice day for physical delivery of the NG contract - so that spread you are referring to is essentially a future on the pipeline basis...
  9. bone

    Dalio goes full retard, likes MMT

    The statement I posted came directly from the University of Chicago piece I linked to - for the record, those are not my words. It would be a grave mistake to outright dismiss the outstanding economists polled by the University of Chicago for the MMT article. Economic theories gain mainstream...
  10. bone

    Do you think this is the truth about day trading?

    I'd much rather have the fill I got in June 21 Crude.
  11. bone

    Do you think this is the truth about day trading?

    I think that there's some element of luck in many things. More of it is "right place and right time" than sheer happenstance, IMO.
  12. bone

    Do you think this is the truth about day trading?

    I've never really seen a trader who made it over a protracted period of time who didn't have an edge. Now, edges come and go, and edges are as varied as the trader. It could have been what floor brokers that particular trader was standing next to in the pit, it could be a particular inter...
  13. bone

    Futures are looking liquid

    This is the worst risk/reward that I personally am aware of. These new products with very low volume. Unless you are a commercial who is long the underlying and are perfectly willing to make good delivery - this is the kind of risk that blows you out. I saw TransMarket Group get hurt quite...
  14. bone

    Do you think this is the truth about day trading?

    I simply cannot agree with the notion of a successful trader over a protracted period of time owes his good fortune to randomness. Nope.
  15. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    There is no "legging risk" or "risk of getting hung" or "double fills" with exchange supported spreads. HFT and Algos have nothing to do with exchange supported spreads because their orders at regulated futures exchanges by rule are tagged as "conditional" and the exchange requires "firm"...
  16. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    You're not really making much sense at all. Most of the traders blowing out at futures brokers and clearing firms are trading outrights. It's a matter of numbers and participation.
  17. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    You know who took the other side of Hunter's trade? John Arnold (Centaurus)
  18. bone

    /NG-/HH spread trading

    Fortunately I have a long list of clients over a twelve year period who disagree with you. Spread trading does not amplify risk. Just like typing in all CAPS doesn't make your point any more relevant or honest.
  19. bone

    Futures are looking liquid

    Avoid these new futures products with very low volume at all costs. :caution:
  20. bone

    Do you think this is the truth about day trading?

    Trading is indeed different than many other difficult endeavors. There is a very different art and gamesmanship quality to it.
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