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  1. C

    Better to Predict...or React?

    Agree. :)
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    the basic flaws in TA

    You are attempting to answer the 'why'. Civilization is the product of human behavior. Your posts are the product of human behavior. So sweet. :cool:
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    Bear market ahead and 14 more years of range trading? The next weeks will show!

    Add a bit of sorting. And I broadly agree. So more correct than you might imagine and very succinctly put. :)
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    Better to Predict...or React?

    I agree. I use a predictive trading model. :)
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    Predicting randomness

    I did not take your question as an insult. I took it as a good question to answer. The more money you have the more it increases your freedom and choice. But yes, money itself only exists in the mind. I am motivated by 'game play measurement' as certain others are when it comes to money games...
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    Predicting randomness

    I don't think your post needs an answer. You are wrong to think that the human condition shared by you and I departs because you are or you become a multi-millionaire or a billionaire. Bill Gates is a gigantic donor to good causes. The distribution of 'arseholes', I suggest, is probably...
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    Predicting randomness

    A very good riposte, oddiduro. The liquidity of the market you play in is the first limitation. But you will know that increasing and/or multiplying your stake in ratio to your capital base accumulating through profit addition is not a slow process assuming always that you are not removing...
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    the basic flaws in TA

    Technical analysis is analysis. This is the 'how' not the 'why'. Such analysis is an examination of price in order to know how price behaves. Therefrom, the purpose of traders is to be able to anticipate or expect fairly accurately what price will do next on the basis of how it is currently...
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    Predicting randomness

    Billionaire or not? Kind of solves itself if you cannot become one. If I may so, it adds up to a lot of horsesh*t to announce that you don't want what you are not, cannot do or are unlikely ever to do. Billionaire is simply a measurement of great success. Therefore it can represent a valid...
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    Predicting randomness

    You put my allegory into computer science terminology. But of course you gave the correct interpretation. :)
  11. C

    Tell me how much you enjoy Trading

    I've got the same answer again. That would be a sensation of having your arsehole burnt. Not appealing, really. Trading. How do I feel? Contentment. :)
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    Why do so many even try....

    Agree .. absolutely.
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    Why do so many even try....

    True enough. 'Undercapitalized' however is not the real problem. An individual can work from tiny capital. It is failure of effort .. lazy, as you put it. It requires complete and utter dedication to put together a ruthlessly effective trading model. And I'm saying that after the advantage...
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    the basic flaws in TA

    Mean Reverters versus Trend Followers. Here is a very obvious answer. The sum of the major daily gyrations (eg DOW index), that is the daily totals added together during any trend, is greater than or a multiple of any trend of a few days, a week, a month or whatever. Even so, should...
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    Predicting randomness

    This is interesting and is part of the big answer. The Holy Grail does not appear after a sudden push through the dense undergrowth and jungle. After a long journey its shadowy outline first begins to be glimpsed, eventually it becomes clearer and at long last you stand before it and can...
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    Trading dying a slow death

    The volatility this year (eg DOW index) so far has been fine. Why is there complaint? I prefer constant big range and big gyration days but, hell, any day that has a medium or smaller range is even easier to scoop out. :)
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    the perfect trader ?

    The perfect trader? Hmmm. I don't look to be that or think that. I wanted the Holy Grail .. and in online trading in the market you can work it out. It does take time, dedication, research, study, assembling data & establishing and testing the trading model to do what you need it to do. I...
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    Predicting randomness

    Perseus I appreciate what you say. The nearest you get to a starting point is your second option namely "work in markets that are 'news quiet' and keep your time horizon small". You don't need the market to be 'news quiet' in something like index futures. News at best is merely a...
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    Predicting randomness

    There is of course no harm whatsoever in theoretical debate on all the factors that may or may not subscribe to market conditions. However where the underlying conundrum is to take the most money you can out of the market by trading, you need the answers to do so. The theoretical debate does...
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    Predicting randomness

    I am surprised you think that everyone thinks the market is random. I know that data/parameters can be marshalled into a framework to predict the markets gyrations (eg DOW). Others would know, even if they don't know how to measure and exploit the market's predictive potential. Establishing a...
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