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    Gasoline heading to $3 and more

    Yukon versus Mini, 2006 model year. GMC 2WD, smaller engine: 16/20 GMC 2WD, flexfuel (uses E85) 15/20, 11/15 on E85. GMC 4WD, flexfuel 14/18; 11/14 on E85 (all automatic transmission) Mini Cooper: 28/36 manual, 26/34 auto Mini Cooper supercharged: 25/32 manual, 23/32...
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    who's making a Diesel hybrid? The French. http://www.autoblog.com/2006/01/31/psa-peugeot-citroen-unveils-diesel-hybrid-technology/ There is a (needless) conflict between air pollution rules and fuel efficiency with hybrids. Two problems: 1) US diesel has had significant sulfur...
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    Market Models

    the preferred term now is "machine learning". I would translate this to be reasonably sophisticated quantitative modeling which is oriented towards Bayesian type of probabilistic prediction, as opposed to classical hypothesis testing. Compared with 'regular' statistics, the problems, data...
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    Yuan trade?

    (1) Good export companies in Japan which compete directly with China. {China is prime competitor, bank of Japan keeps yen low to compete with yuan} (2) Australian mineral exporters (3) European luxury goods makers
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    Significant increase in petroleum prices, how?

    Sure seems like we're Saudi Arabia's bitch a whole lot more than Israel's.
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    Significant increase in petroleum prices, how?

    They can turn off the oil and the money. The world didn't always all hate us, either.
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    Significant increase in petroleum prices, how?

    conventional weapons would not do as well. New evidence shows where Saddam was during the bombings when he was making his tapes: central Baghdad, in the middle of his known complexes. They took multiple direct hits from bunker-busting bombs and missiles, but the lower levels were...
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    SUV Sales

    Maybe that has to do with the Escape being a boring, low-quality appearing not-really-really-truck not-really-wagon which doesn't give all that great fuel efficiency anyway. When has Ford attempted to build a car as good as the Civic + Prius ?
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    "The China Price" - The best business article I have seen in years.

    And how long will it be before (A) Chinese demand Boeing or Airbus set up "cooperative" factories in China producing planes for "domestic" Chinese market? (B) Managers and engineers employed at such companies suddently jump to nearby all-Chinese startup aircraft company which suddently...
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    in those rural and moutainous areas, ordinary cars and trucks also will not achieve the fuel economy ratings. Hybrid cars work only if you can smooth out the consumption of fuel to a situation where the engine is more efficient---this works in city stop and go driving with electrical...
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    Significant increase in petroleum prices, how?

    "US considers use of nuclear weapons against Iran" http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20060408/wl_mideast_afp/usirannuclearmilitary_060408061934;_ylt=AqlY12ndkAMMI.mG8QtKN2Ws0NUE;_ylu=X3oDMTA3b2NibDltBHNlYwM3MTY-
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    "where do you sign up?" Sadly: Beijing. Read the last article in the "China price" thread, about China's massive boost in organized science and engineering for the good of the nation.
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    Eurodollar futures on CME best time to trade?

    Yes it's true: Eurodollars are a US dollar based bond. EuroFX is the european common currency relative to US dollars. However, there is some significant correlation of course, as both markets react to US interest rates very heavily so things like (this upcoming Friday's) non-farm...
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    Refco FX Clients will never give up!!!

    The answer is pretty sleazy I think. Refco FX (retail/small forex) is not the same as Refco Capital Markets (the one which went tits up because of the fraudulent assets due to CEO). The big depositors in RCM want their money back. RCM doesn't have enough assets (it is bankrupt). What...
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    I believe that now all of the members of the Chinese Central Committee have degrees in science or engineering. What fraction of the top actual policy makers in the USA are similarly educated? What fraction of the same group worked in the oil business? Phenomena of economics never win...
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    I actually do have a PhD. What is the issue exactly? When China and India have a 6-10% growth rate, the six/eight years between Clinton's time and now can be significant in demand. And take out half of Iraq's oil production as well, and add in the petroleum consumed by a large...
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    This is missing the point. The problem is that there is a huge time-lag between the time that you make a policy change, and the eventual effect. This is measured in the overall actual fleet efficiency of all vehicles out there. Given the replacement rate, even having great mileage new...
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    Another politician trying to fix prices... won't they ever learn.

    it isn't "fixing" prices in the sense of cartels. He is offering a long-term supply contract---a completely legitimate thing to do. I would take him on the offer. The problem of course is political risk---if spot prices go to $100 will Venezuela still honor the agreement? Like when...
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    Significant Reduction in Petroleum / Gasoline Prices, HOW?

    There are two things: oil (crude) prices gasoline prices. I don't see strong evidence that oil prices are at all "artificially" high due to reasons beyond supply and demand. If there were strong cartels or rent-seeking/monopolistic behavior in gasoline, then crack spreads (between...
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    Algorithmic Trading

    thinking that 'automation' takes out humans is like comparing "real trading" in 1920's in opposition to that newfangled "telephone trading".
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