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  1. J

    UK Debt Bombshell

    People who post this kind of crap, usually cranks or marxist media, don't understand modern economic theory. A goverment is always in deficit unless it intends to drive the private sector broke. Governments spend to stimulate the economy and there is always a deficit. The problem is not the...
  2. J

    Cranks

    A proof you gave in the other thread about the risk of ruin is highly cranky and indicates lack of understanding of the math of infinity, the difference between dependent and independent variables and of circular references. In the other thread you presented a proof based on mere symbol...
  3. J

    Kaufmann Risk of Ruin

    Math is not just symbol manipulation. When taking the limit as T -> oo you already assume that T can get to infinity. T is not a free, independent variable in a gambling game. Wouldn't that be nice? I would like that you seriously think about this. Can you spot the fallacy you employed...
  4. J

    Kaufmann Risk of Ruin

    If you set T = oo I think you get: R{oo|X|C}= ((q/p)^(C-X) - (q/p)^oo)/(1 - (q/p)^oo) If q > p then we get R{oo|X|C}}= ((q/p)^(C-X) - oo)/(1 - oo) which for (C-X) < oo is equivalent to: R{oo|X|C}= ((q/p)^(C-X) - oo)/(1 - oo) = oo/oo Now, the limit is not defined as oo/oo...
  5. J

    Trading curses

    You just figured this out? Let me see. You sound like you are in second grade already this year. It is spelled asymmetry. In third grade you will learn how to use online spelling. Try to stay in the chit-chat area.
  6. J

    Expectancy blunder

    It is more of a serious limitation of the concept, not a blunder per se. For the averaging to work, the risk per trade must be a constant value. This is in general not true or even applicable. Many traders adjust risk based on volatility. So yes, this analysis is flawed in general. Someone...
  7. J

    Trend Following + Range Trading

    Playing again Monday morning quarterback?
  8. J

    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    If you are to be very careful about what you write it can mean two things: 1. You have an edge already, so I see no point you looking for one. You should be making enough money to live a lavish lifestyle away from these websites. 2. You do not have an edge and as such you have no sensitive...
  9. J

    Did Your 'Edge' Come Easy?

    Yes, easy.
  10. J

    Latest Hedge Fund Results

    How do you know these are the true holdings?
  11. J

    What do YOU use back testing for?

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backtesting http://www.investopedia.com/terms/b/backtesting.asp read this one carefully before you backtest: http://www.priceactionlab.com/Blog/2010/10/proper-use-of-back-testing/
  12. J

    Mathematically computing a trendline

    College math 101.
  13. J

    priceactionlab questions

    Do you think you are alive? Ask around you. Your wife hopes you are dead so she can run away with that young pizza delivery boy, your kids think you are brain dead, your relatives wish you are dead :) ...and you sit around wondering about multicore computers...
  14. J

    priceactionlab questions

    I agree. Anyways, if you want to use a program like that it makes sense to load it on a fast machine and let it do the work. Nice thing about this program is that you can list all your searches on one workspace and let it run for as long as it takes to get the results. When you get the...
  15. J

    Optimization

    Good point and I don't think many here will understand it because I suspect very few in these threads have had formal studies in optimization theory. To make a long story short, never, I mean never use products like that. This is not optimization but plain undermining of the intelligence...
  16. J

    priceactionlab questions

    Totally different approach to system design, indicators and TA in general. I suggest you first read these papers below. If you understand them maybe you should be able to use software like that. If not, you will be wasting your time: http://www.priceactionlab.com/synthesis.pdf...
  17. J

    Logics: Random?

    You know what happens when you trade against those who can predict the future.
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