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especially commodity scalping

the odds and probabilities are that my house will go up in value

just like any bubble, we aren't done going down until we make a new long term low. i won't think about buying a house as an investment until we test 62% home ownership. i might buy a house to live in, fully expecting to lose another 50% on it (if my wife forces me to buy a house)- but...

i just trade intraday so what started sending warning signals off that we are looking at a real rally was the bonds leading to the upside compared to the ty's-- i have nothing i'm really watching, but imo we are going to see some crazy volatility in the next couple of months- i wouldn't be...

this is so true- i mean there has never been a drought or anything like that ever before in the history of mankind. but you are right if you were saying that if you don't speculate in the physical commodity it is mathematically impossible for you to manipulate the spot price of said commodity...

no i'm buying way OTM calls to take advantage of the manipulated sell-off

I currently use an excel "helper" program that is fed RTD bids/asks and calculates relationship values for me. What I'm looking to do, is add in a function that once a value reaches a certain level, an audio trigger will start to go off once every minute or so to get my attention, but that also...

for me it is about 95% of my money, i have some assets outside, but about equivalent debt to cancel them out- so effectively it is 95% of my net worth with 5% in the bank for random expenses.

low profile is always the best, just look at all the people on those "housewives" shows and how their lives fall apart instantly after grasping for the limelight a little. and if you choose to be generous and give to charities- it is always better to do it anonymously rather than having the...

i've made the argument before that student loans are the new indentured servitude. say you went to northwestern at the above quoted 52k / yr taking our 40k / yr in loans and making 12k / year more than you spend through some employment (imo very optimistic to be in this state w/out parents...

i have to completely disagree with this statement. as you pointed out housing prices are likely to continue to decline, even if we are looking at a negative real interest rate environment- if the asset you are looking to purchase is going to continue to go down in price you my as well wait a...

private loans for college without a co-signer aren't the easiest to come by.

technicals would say maybe all of those except boston look like they are in a downtrend still- but i think boston as well as the rest have a long way to go til they truly bottom out. just wait til mortgages are 13% loans, and few young people are building the work foundation needed to be able...

spain is 20% of the EU, i doubt once you add the rest of the pigs in that europe could buy them all several times over, that's like saying the totality of the us debt both admitted and unrealized is just a pittance we could pay off quickly without pain if we so chose and the real problem is...

they facilitated the sale by providing all of the upfront cost (loans) for nothing (no down payment) and the monthly payments came to a stop a long time ago. the repossessed it because they didn't really get anything for it in the first place, which actually means they were forced to buy it...

as the total value of the housing market expanded, they had to bend over backwards to find more and more unqualified applicants to throw mortgages at to maintain the mandated percentage (for equalities sake of course) at some point all bubbles burst, and if you review the percentage of overall...

for help once again i'll requote the answer to questions 1 and 2 3- the real estate agents made money no matter what, the individuals made out like bandits living in houses they couldn't afford for a long time (often for several years for free after stopping making any payments), and the...

best day +69% worst day -32% i think i was using a bit too much leverage back then :) with more reasonable risk/reward best day +6% worst day -5.5% and i would always go out for a nice dinner on my big losing days, because once you are down so much... what's another 250$?

i just might have to requote this every couple of pages, so that the rest of you fools who don't understand how everything the government gets involved with turns into a tremendous bubble with plenty of pain to go around but never an ounce of blame for the government. stay tuned for more-...