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    Professional investors behind ‘witching day’ options spike

    Done with https://www.textfixer.com/tools/add-line-breaks.php
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    Professional investors behind ‘witching day’ options spike

    Study says retail investors are the losers from anomaly that costs more than $3. 8 billion By Rob Mannix The fresh analysis, which builds on work done by the same team in 2023, shows that professional investors benefit from a pricing anomaly in S&P 500 index options that costs retail investors...
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    with your example (a delta 8 is more premium) the stoplosses for both side would be 105 dollar. Also the premium on both sides should be sort of equal..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    See first page images..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    In my backtest i use the high price of the options, so if they get tagged the are also tagged in my backtest..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    I receive about 200 dollar to open, only close txs on stoploss otherwise they expire worthless
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    I'm happy to waste 1 hour a day for an on average 400 dollar result :-)
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    or write some software to do this for you :-)
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Statistics (without tx costs) with 8/3 delta. Slippage 10 cent on the stoplosses. Note that back then you could not trade 0DTE every day.. On average 40 dollar a day net with one IC. If you do 10 a day you could stop working cesfx :-)
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Please read the original strategy, it uses automatic stoploss orders...
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Gamma to high with bigger deltas, stoplosses hit 9 out of 10 times.. Also bigger chance of hitting double stoploss..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Backtest adjusted to 20/10 delta. Hitrate much lower..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Slippage (i use 10 cent in my backtest) and skipping (not tested) will probably be more with higher deltas...
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    I can adjust the backtest for you, written delta on 25 delta? Bought on 20?
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    I get your point. By using an IC you can exactly determine your max loss (2% of net liq). With naked you had a hard time e.g. in aug 2015 (flash crash). And 80% profit a year should be enough :)
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Real data, 15 minutes. In the backtest i use the high value every 15 minutes for the stoploss. Source of data: CBOE datashop
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    The hitrate is about the same, average profits per day are good. I only open 1 each day (at 9:45), he opens a lot more and closes sometimes in an early stage. Backtest is mechanical, he is trading on own rules..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Some statistics..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Some transactions..
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    Day trading 0DTE Condors

    Some results per month..
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