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  1. C

    US dollar vs the gold it could be backed with

    Yeah I do trade, profitably, but at least I have education to know the difference between normal supply/demand price behavior and inflation.
  2. C

    US dollar vs the gold it could be backed with

    Yeah your right, I am going to write a paper about your conclusion and I am also writing my Nobel acceptance speech too... I GUESS THE INCREASE IN PRICES HAD NOTHING TO DO WITH INCREASED DEMAND FROM A GROWING POPULACE!!!
  3. C

    Excellent Article

    MYTH #348, JAPAN IS NOT A GREAT SAVINGS COUNTRY. US SAVINGS RATE IS MEASURED EXCLUDING MANY RETIREMENT PLANS THAT JAPAN INCLUDES IN ITS MEASUREMENTS. When you measure US/Japan savings point for point, our savings rates are almost identical. The US consumer is not as fickle as the Japanese...
  4. C

    US dollar vs the gold it could be backed with

    Your thoughts on the dollar and the many other similar opinions I have read are the reason that I posted this very brief statement about my theory on the state of the economy right now. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=24103 As a point of fact, of course the...
  5. C

    Excellent Article

    David, is that you...? If it isn't, GOD help us all, there is another Misestista out there. For the uninitiated the Austrian (Mises) Interpretation of the Classical Liquidity Cycle (CLC) is the CLC combined with the Austrian economic model. This model sometimes does a good job of explaining...
  6. C

    Excellent Article

    I too read the article and was swayed by some points until I read the conclusion. "Real wealth comes from savings and investments and the production of real goods. It doesn't’t come from financial speculation. Printing money and expanding leveraged financial assets that trade the markets...
  7. C

    Excellent Article

    You wouldn't be more wealthy but society as a whole would be through the multiplier effects of your foolish spending. You knowledge of economics is a joke and you should go buy a macroeconomics book, then read it... BTW, how much is your savings if Best Buy could absorb it all. I mean one...
  8. C

    Australia Raise Short Term Rates!

    This could be good... according to the International Fisher Effect (IFE) and common sense. Any finance people out there that care to explain this because I don't feel like it. This may also help my $$ depreciation theory because of parity considerations...
  9. C

    Excellent Article

    You are a goldstandardtista too, right? http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=24264 Jezzzzzzzussss, are you just trying to crush all logical constructs of our economy with one broad ignorant stroke or are you making a play in precious metals. Wealth is created through...
  10. C

    US dollar vs the gold it could be backed with

    What house of cards are you talking about? Are you talking about your theory on inflation? I hope you are, because your view of gold as a standard of value for our fiat currency is about as well thought out of theory as people who buy investments because they are recommended in Forbes. Gold...
  11. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I consider myself MUCH more openminded than most but I am having a hard time swallowing that an individual has built an economic model that essentially explains society in a 2 generational accumulation then distribution of market momentum through war and inflation...
  12. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I don't have the gargantuan egos that many of you seem to be plagued with. I don't use self approbation as a crutch for some insecurity that has plagued my existence. I just wanted to throw a bone out there to see what type of economic response you people could come up with and so far I have...
  13. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I hope you are not a currency trader because your views on currency parity is quite odd... Call me kooky but I would follow relative inflation rates, interest rates, capital market conditions, current account balances, capital account balances, political sentiments, and consumer economic...
  14. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I wasn't implying that the bull run would define/create a new economic paradigm that would cause unjustified prices to be sustainable. I am not that much of an academic ideologue. I was simply stating that the TRADITIONAL FUNDAMENTALS from the rest of the economy may be positioned to allow for...
  15. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    Exactly, how do we know that we already experienced the first bubble. Maybe it was never a bubble to begin with and that is for future periods to experience. This is my whole point about perspective...
  16. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I was not trying to beat the market, per se. I am trying to provide an insight into some macro events that may affect our economy and trading horizon. I would not try to trade on this prognosis because that would be investing, NOT TRADING, but I would definitely use this measure as a barometer...
  17. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I guess I should have been clearer in my hubris on that response, HAHA!
  18. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    Thats because it is voodoo economics. The funny thing is that I WAS SPEAKING IN GENERALITIES. I could go into greater detail but I WONT. I want yall to connect the lines because I already have. I have come to my conclusion. Build your own model/theory and then tell me your conclusions. I...
  19. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    Manufacturers are going to ramp up ops because of the notion that market share can be gained by favorable currency moves. I would also contend that higher interest rates and inflation is favorable to increased production and movement in the received indicators relevant to that sector because...
  20. C

    We want the $$ to fall and bond yields to rise, DOW 15000!!!

    I don't even think the people that run Freddie and Fannie understand their quagmire of hedging strategies well enough to understand if they are properly hedged or not. Who cares about the federal deficit, really, it won't matter, not to our analysis or in any case for that matter! If W...
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