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This fed since Bernanke, has been a relative hawk, allowing /conditioning markets to adjust over time to a divergent monetary policy. The course was stayed for a lengthy taper and delayed a few months maybe , by China concerns. Yeah i know, at one time more than 50 bp had been priced in for...

Refinancing / rolling forward maturing debt at a potentially higher rate may be the result. (We dont pay principal on debt to my knowledge) .Also new debt will be auctioned at the new rates as usual. What if growth and inflation expectations decrease due to the fed rate hike resulting in...

Im curious why the blue area is considered a likely zone for amateurs to short. The area has previous thin prints(timewise) and screwing some inconsequential one lots in a liquid asset cant be a top objective. If this were the euro, can the strategy of countering stupid work? For discussion...

If spreading the wealth around is socialist then then the emerging world should thank US capitalists for properly allocating investments for the last 35 years. Ironic.

Ok, admittedly my source is Zerohedge, but not just ZH, there is some grumbling over the level of difficulty to conduct therse operations this week so that Friday the fed funds rate prints within the target range. It would be a Ross Perot moment. A giant sucking sound if deposits moved to...

Would you take a trade in mid price range or are your entries mostly fading a degree of puke and panic. You do seem to have a good sense of where to look and when. Could you comment A bit on your process and what range stocks and assets you are following. Thanks.

Sigs answer is great because I thought "oh yeah, thats beta" . I wonder if you could bucket news into sectors. The effect of energy news on SP500 high beta energy components is likely to exceed that low beta healthcare components. So play XOM/SPY against MDT/SPY in theory, which is XOM/MDT in...

Boilermakers help as well.

Actually I got good grades in Calculus. Got the grades and moved on as did most undergads. Certainly most undergrads dont/cant apply it and most(not all) companies , aside from an entrance interview dont use it. All the undergard , working, practical comp science and electrical engineers...

I remember having paid about $75 USD per credit for a few calculus classes that were never used in a binary world. Should have paid more so i could have learned some better calculus. Tried it and it doesnt work.

VFV.TO is the CAD hedged fund. Who knows? Whats your opinion on CAD/USD and the SP500 going forward? http://stockcharts.com/h-sc Zoom out 3 years. You get these currency hedged etfs right and a littlt daily tracking error is Swamped. Vanguard is dirt cheap fees. Workon getting direction right.

Yup, a multiple of quarterly ATR , but, this same multiple applied across many instruments may not be the way to go. Wide levels for ranging price and tight levels for trending price seem better as discussed on this thread. May have to treat each asset individually depending on what it is doing...

These quarterly Aup/Adown levels are too tight for this pair UUP/FXY proxy for usd/yen. Still,I would be surprised to see this move much towards the quarterly A-up level. Anyway a recently confirmed monthly A-up for December

If the FED does hike and Drahgi did do more to further negate the ECB deposit rate AND further negate euro-land debt in amplitude and duration by expanding QE further then the rate differentials between the two areas may have been a little too much. Tin hat firmly planted , maybe Drahgi and...

That real retrun for many years post 1980 was phenominal! Good God man, what are you talking about. That is what the old men experienced. They are lines to you as are the lines pre-1980 to me. I couldnt care less about THOSE lines and the very old men who prefer sound money. Treasury...

I would think a bond trader could extract information from watching the yield curve as well. The member Murcuto ? comes to mind as a pro bond trader that used to post here. Those participating in the old bond threads may have a history of informative posts. Search em.

Very easily googled at CME. Note the tick value. Notional values are 100k for ZF , ZN and ZB which are the 5yr, 10 and 20 yr. respectively. A move in ZF from a price of 100-000to 101. 000 ticks from -000 to -002 to -005 to -007 to -010. These are 1/4 of 1/32 ticks where each tick is $1000/32...

Honestly, i could not read more than 5 paragraphs. What exactly is this? Seriously.

Rogue wave on a crowded boat. Some passengers are lost.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2012–13_Cypriot_financial_crisis And..........its GONE. Could there be a worse place? Absolutely! https://bank.cybo.com/m/RU/belgatoy/stock-brokers/ Double your account, close it, and receive a bank check via mail. Really?