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  1. eurusdzn

    Chinese Yuan

    Related. http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/ADXY:IND
  2. eurusdzn

    Suicide And Trading

    Bump that post count once more drcha or , consider it informative. Some levity.
  3. eurusdzn

    "Madoff" on ABC

    Troll reincarnate. These guys keep coming back like an STD or a bad penny.
  4. eurusdzn

    What’s Behind China’s Purchase Of The Sagging Chicago Stock Exchange?

    Maybe capital flight and not enough US real estate to seek cover.
  5. eurusdzn

    Chinese Yuan

    Related. http://www.alhambrapartners.com/2016/02/05/empty-consumers/
  6. eurusdzn

    What Can One Expect from Negative Interest Rates?

    I suppose you would have to stress test NIRP in case of a Bernie Sanders win. Imagine a negative deposit rate of say -.1% out five years so that that respective notes auction would maybe yield 0% . New and maturing US debt could be rolled into short term NIRP or 0% yielding notes causing a...
  7. eurusdzn

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    EOD bars have established an ascending channel with a touch of the lower line today. Damn if this doesnt sound like D....
  8. eurusdzn

    The Tao of Minimalistic Trading: $300 Daily Profit

    http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-news/article.aspx?storyid=f548fd85-53a3-4aa1-af7d-425597459643 No NIRP from BOJ? Risk on 400 dow point day was on this.
  9. eurusdzn

    What Can One Expect from Negative Interest Rates?

    I am winging it here because dont have the data but it seems to me banks would be a bad bet with NIRP. Surpisingly curve flattening may occur regardless of what the fed does. Fed raises rates and "greenspan conundrum" again where rates farther out fall in disinflation expectations. We are...
  10. eurusdzn

    What Can One Expect from Negative Interest Rates?

    Which would you want? Competeive devaluations of currencies or competetive NIRP that maintains relative interest rate differentials and maintain relative currency values. Seems easier for a CB to set a deposit rate rather than conduct ops to devalue a currency when the tools are depleted...
  11. eurusdzn

    The ACD Method

    So do the algos that worked last year get dusted off and work again where risk is USD.JPY and if so what happens at the 125 level.
  12. eurusdzn

    Correlation much?

    I read that More than 200 billion of treasuries will mature 2016 and more moving forward in following years. Some pundits, free research, say they will use the proceeds of maturing debt to purchase more treasuries leaving the balance sheet unchanged. More "monitizing the debt" or silent QE...
  13. eurusdzn

    China GDP Slows to Weakest Since 2009 on Manufacturing Slide

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-25/chinese-rush-buy-foreign-assets-mammoth-1-trillion-capital-flees-country http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-01-25/offshore-yuan-drops-3-week-lows-china-injects-another-70-billion-liquidity Every day now its " whats happening with oil and China " Will...
  14. eurusdzn

    Is It a Reversal or a Pullback?

    What do you guys think of a rate of change parameter to indicate a pullback or reversal? It think it is rare and applies much more to a selloff but a shallow bear flag, with a small slope and rate of change provides a higher probability of continuation. Thats a pullback. On the other hand, a...
  15. eurusdzn

    Foreign Central Banks Furiously Dump US Treasuries

    Lots of exports lead to lots of dollars. China and Japan have bought a lot of treasuries with these dollars. The article states the suspicion is that these unlocked dollars via treasury sales are recently( for almost a year now) being used to buy/support their own currency on the FX market...
  16. eurusdzn

    SP500 - High Probability predictions for 2016

    Its the Avatar Schizo. Change it to a raging Bull with a Stratford Oakmont brass plaque. Speak more of fine cigars and pricey watches.
  17. eurusdzn

    Foreign Central Banks Furiously Dump US Treasuries

    The tin hats will read the thread title and view this as the predicted retaliation and end of the unsustainable US borrowing and possibly a shift towards other reserve currencies. The most desired asset in the world , even now, early in this play, appears to once again be USD via UST. Maybe...
  18. eurusdzn

    Will the economy collapse in 2016?

    Confidence in Central Banks is decreasing. FED and PBOC in focus at this time. FED seems out of touch with present conditions. Deflation seems the risk. The mystique of highly competent Chinese management is broken combined with lack of transparancy where some guess that GDP is 3% and...
  19. eurusdzn

    Pension funds in China now allowed to invest....this is out of control

    The depth of the error in Vols analysis seems impossible considering his status and intelligence. Who knew the capital flight, equity meltdown , FX burn rate, SHiBOR vol and a number of other carefully managed numbers all flashing caution at the time of his analysis could be so naively...
  20. eurusdzn

    May I say...

    The original premise of the thread is that manipulation caused the opposing green then red EODD bars of the past two trading days. Within 12 hours you had Bullard jawboning a squeeze followed by an Asain session dominated by steep oil and China deflation. This of course is opinion and hindsight...
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