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And with the fear of deflation, that will only help to strengthen the dollar. Also, the world markets are very much correlated with the US market. You don't take the biggest consumer out of the picture and not affect the entire world. The reason that the dollar is considered a safe haven is...

I tend to agree with this thought. One thing that when compared to the great depression makes this one look far less severe is the difference in the number of bank failures as compared to the great depression. At this point during the great depression, there were well over 10,000 bank failures...

I agree with you for the most part here.

The Eurozone is in far more risk of a severe recession than the United States. Europe is heavily, heavily invested in emerging markets. Additionally, many European countries have more public debt than the United States. So how are these European countries going to support their massive social...

haha...good point....I didn't think of that. :D

shut up clown. Nobody cares what you have to say.

Well, interestingly, KRE has continued to show strength not breaking through the lows of July 15th and bouncing off them with considerable strength. So, we are now getting "close" to the 6 month target which will be Jan 15th.

Neke, try some visualizing techniques... ...when you take the trade, visualize where you want to get out both in a profit state and a loss state. ...imagine how you'd feel in both places. As the trade moves toward your stop loss, visualize yourself not pulling the trigger and the stock...

July 15th is the new low date. KRE fell to 21.71. My own personal feeling is that may be the bottom. Of course, I won't declare the bear over until I see the 6 month requirement, so the soonest we can declare the bear over is Jan 17th of next year. And even so, I believe we will have at least...

Neke, here's a tactic I'm developing for my psychology. When I make a trade, I analyze how I feel about the trade. I'm sure you notice this. Frequently when you make trades, you probably have a degree of skepticism about certain trades because they just don't quite fit your criteria, but you'll...

You'd invest all your money in the Nasdaq? I sure as hell wouldn't. Actually, you just verified indirectly precisely WHY you would be fine dollar cost averaging. You mentioned emerging markets that have made a killing. If you're properly diversified, you would be invested in those emerging...

Exactly...or at the very least, during markets like this, identify some sectors to be short, take a small portion of your portfolio and hedge it short. Keep another portion (25%) on the sidelines, and put a small portion (like 5-7%) back in at layers of like every 5-7% drop.

If you're in for the long run and dollar cost averaging, what do you care if the market tanks? Don't be fooled by those pointing to the market top in 2000 and saying..."see...we haven't had any growth in 8 years". Sure, if you invested EVERYTHING at the very top and never invested another...

Exactly. That is definitely a valid concern. But then again, if the ECB decides to raise rates in parallel, that should help keep the improving trade deficit from reversing the trend. We are really in a catch-22 right now though. I'm not sure that the risk of stagflation is worth keeping...

I think you oversimplified. You jumped right to the "strong" dollar. A "STRENGTHENING" dollar will make all US investments more attractive to foreign investors. Whether it's fixed incomes, equity or currency investments. Low interest rates with a low USD have no attractive features...

bologna. It is seriously in the best interest of the economy to raise rates. There are fundamentally a number of reasons why interest rates should be raised right now, and they are all well correlated. Number 1: Inflation is very high right now. Raising interest rates will help combat...

Apparently you like demonstrating how little you do know about finance and economics. Raising interest rates fairly soon is actually a very good idea which is precisely why the FED is hinting that it will do it very soon. Contrary to your obvious ignorance of how the markets work, when the Fed...

Today KRE broke below its Jan lows. Thus, the 6 month "indicator" starts over based on this theory that this bank index is a 6 month predictor of when the next bull market will start. So now my timeframe will be looking to add positions in the financials around the end of Oct. as long as the...

Excellent article by Mauldin. I think he's nailed every important point thoroughly. I pretty much agree with every single thing he wrote.

I'm long DUG, the ultra-short ETF. I only grabbed a small position on Friday though. I'll grab some profits if I can, otherwise I'll wait for more spikes in oil and add to the position.