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This recovery is all about the first and second derivative, as ridiculous as that sounds. It's a joke. Imagine if you were long 200 contracts of crude oil, and the price was declining. You bought them at 148, and now they're at 50. You don't give a damn, because the rate of change has been...

You're exactly right, but there is a large gap between governmental response back then, and what is going on now. Remember, many things like unemployment insurance and social security came to be during the depression. Bernanke is an expert on the Great Depression, and he knows that he's got to...

It's this type of brazeness and cockiness from retail investors that makes me question the viability of this rally. I'm definitely not short equties, but I do question this deal with all the twits calling the new bull rally. See where you fit into the market's emotional cycle here...

They did it with the DOW components. This recovery is pretty phony. The Fed and Treasury have simply jumped through flaming hoops to make the markets (treasuries, commercial paper, equities, mortgages) look functional. They knew that if they could give the impression of functionality and...

The buck is on a tear.

I wonder if all of this talk by the CDC about a Swine Flu epidemic will come to fruition this fall/winter. If so, hogs will be an albatross around the meat market's neck.

I'll be watching for a bearish reversal setup on the 1-2 hour time frames. I might be watching for the next year, LOL! I sure hope not. When prices hit the vertical ramp mode, it's only a matter of "when", not "if". It's on my sceens.

A fast market might only fill a portion of a limit order. An MIT order sounds like what you want (if you are willing to sacrifice some slippage for a quick fill). If you want an order type that will fill the full size of your order at a specified price without slippage, you're asking for too...

(Y2-Y1)/(X2-X1)=Slope(first derivative) If you're looking back one day only, simply subract today's MA value from yesterday's. That's it, since you're only looking back one day, the denominator will stay set at 1, and can be ignored. Second derivative is calculated the same, only using the...

I second that.

It appears to be. I'm shocked that a large, multi-month bearish formation might actually play out in this market. I don't think the government will like to see the S&P, pardon me, the "Nation's Confidence" fall to previous lows, so I'm doubtful that this will get to play out to it's full...

Right, as I recall, Japan has done this. Their results have been marvelous.

She'll probably turn out to be right this time, the govt has done/will do everything to keep the markets going as it's a primary driver of confidence. She's backed by the "full faith and credit" of Uncle Sam.

Exactly, whereas the underlying has nothing to be valued against like the derivative does.

I went ahead and extended the LC forecast out through 09/21. It helps me more than anything, and helps me stay accountable. If I'm wrong, I won't be able to hide it. I'd say it helps to keep me honest. Anyhow, I took the liberty of smoothing the forecast, to eliminate the noise. I also...

How tough is it to put an oat spread on (slippage, effort, etc.)??

Haven't we seen this strange scenario before?????? I wonder how bad their real estate slump will be after the bubble bursts. Maybe they'll get off easy (American model), or maybe it'll be tougher (Japanese model). You think the Chinese would be a little more cautious after seeing what is...

Therefore it's a 1% daily dividend paid in olives....the currency of Zeus.

Rashke did indeed bust out early in her career. She ended up owing money to the clearing corp and had to pay it back over time.

When you've got Kudlow draining his 401K to buy blow, the party will continue. http://exiledonline.com/less-than-k...aine-relapse/2/