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Agreed. Nevertheless, Ford ran a great campaign, and made it a race. He's young, and he'll be back.

I sell ES options on occasion, as well as other options, and have decided not to buy the software to calculate SPAN. Here's the way I look at it: those who worry about margin are probably justified in their worrying, probably because they're using too much leverage. You're right: open an...

HG, He's not happy that he made money. He's happy that he's "right." Big difference.

Amen. Riskarb has also in the past contributed to Google's thread on options.

I have the Hull book, which is not particularly helpful about selling vol. Charles Cottle has a (I think, still) free book online called something like Coulda, Woulda, Shoulda. There is a lot here, including some good war stories. I'll think of others, providing others haven't already...

It's getting a little late for the November, but I am keeping an eye on the December. I am neither bullish nor bearish but will follow where ng breaks out (not that I always follow breakouts).

Thanks. I trade short-term (2-5 days), and according to my backtesting, averaging down can produce, over the long haul, a better risk/return ratio than one buy (or sell) only. I would disagree with those that say that averaging down is the main reason why people destroy their accounts. I...

1. When averaging down, know FROM THE VERY START how far you plan to go. Stick to your plan. If your trading stocks, think about how you'd feel if the stock went down 50% in a week. It WILL happen, eventually. 2. Averaging down can be very profitable if done with the right product...

Well, I don't know about LARGEST, but he wasn't and isn't actually what I'd call in shape, is he? :)

Try prophet.net, for free charts

If you are not wildly pyramiding and are careful with your margin, it is hard to wrong buying oil here.

They may be flooding to fend off recession.

I'd take the quarterback over the bodybuilder any day. To be fair, both have worked hard to get where they are. As for occupation, I'd choose football (although it certainly is not a drug-free occupation either). As a lifetime (twenty three years, since I was fifteen), natural bodybuilder...

Time change, yes, but no one knows the future. No one knows what's coming until after it's gone.

Be prepared for the following scenario tomorrow: 1. Bearish news (VERY bearish news) on ng storage. 2. Knee jerk reaction down. 3. Violent snap back. 4. Shorts cover on the bad news. 5. More shorts cover on the bearish news 6, Short term bottom (at least) made. I am putting a limit...

Mid to late 2005 would have been a horrible time to go short ng. Something like at 70K loss on a full size contract.

The AAV has a sweet dividend: close to 18%. If you wanted the payout for September, today the 26th was the last day you could get in, since the div is payable to those who are shareholders as of Sept 29 (three day settlement). Long-term holders with an IRA should consider the AAV over the...

Natural gas futures will provide the bigger bang. The dividend for that fund is mind boggling. Long-term investors should probably stick to the AAV, especially if they have it in an IRA.

Carrying costs are not unsubstantial. Prices vary greatly, and the difference between October gas and January gas is definitely substantial. In other words, it depends. Sometimes rollover is easy; sometimes it means taking on a new contract at a greatly elevated price. Long-term trading in...

Market losses are inevitable, but leverage is a matter of choice.