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  1. K

    The case for economic recovery

    Absent very innovative public policy, I think another decade of economic stagnation is likely. I'm as bearish as they come, but I think there is light at the end of the tunnel. Here's why: The American consumer has become involuntary frugal, which is a nightmare for business margins. Habits...
  2. K

    Warren Buffett gets bent over nothing really.

    He has a personal stock portfolio separate from Berkshire which generates taxable income.
  3. K

    We are the 1%; We stand with the 99%

    Wealth redistribution isn't about voluntary sending in a check to the IRS if you feel too rich, but forcefully getting others in your position to do the same. The signs should read "tax me and others like me more". If the government had a better track record of spending public money I think...
  4. K

    Just made 5 years pay on that gold manipulation

    There really is no "I made $x amount" in trading. Anything and everything is liable to be given back to the market on the next trade. If business if you make $x amount on a deal, you can mostly prevent giving it back it on the next deal.
  5. K

    If the speed of light is broken, information time travel is now possible

    Forget about "back to the future" time travel for a second. Its not happening anytime soon. Information time travel however maybe possible shortly. According to CERN scientists, neutrinos can travel a hugely significant 20 part per million faster than light!!! This could have profound...
  6. K

    OMG the SEC is going crazy busting people

    I agree and think the SEC is overreaching. The SEC going after a very broad strategy of what constitutes insider trading with this one. The only legal action I see here is essentially a misappropriation of trade secrets / intellectual property. Goldman Sachs would have standing as the plaintiff...
  7. K

    Medicine or Wall Street?

    Go be a trader. Nobody who goes to med school looking to make money as a doctor succeeds.
  8. K

    American IT companies can not find workers

    There is always a shortage of talent. There is always employer and employee whining. If these employers actually were willing (and patient and well capitalized enough) to train their workers, they could get good internally developed people. So this employer just wants qualified people who...
  9. K

    My Path To Success

    My best advise is "go where your edge is the greatest". Wether that's running a business, gaining secondary education, investing, or just working a plain old vanilla job. If you can't make any money at something and your goal is to make money, try something else!
  10. K

    B of A to cut 30,000 JOBS!

    That is a huge number crossing the headlines. http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Bank-of-America-will-cut-apf-1897361930.html?x=0&sec=topStories&pos=main&asset=&ccode=
  11. K

    What is the play against US inflation?

    Canadian stocks are a decent inflation hedge. If inflation is high, commodity currencies like the CAD generally perform well AND the resource driven equities on the TSX.
  12. K

    External Hard Drive Transfer Rates

    Although this is admittedly unscientific, avoid western digital. I've had failures with WD drives. I've never had a failure with a seagate drive. If you want speed, make sure you get USB 3.0. It's blazing fast, even if you have a USB 2.0 port.
  13. K

    Have You Been Here? Need Your Wisdom

    Don't sell you business. It may be hard work, but now you know you can sell your business if need-be. Better to grow it into something large enough to retire from. I know the idea of cashing out is tempting, but people tend to do this just before the big money is about to be made. What is it the...
  14. K

    tell me why this isn't easy arbitrage...

    Are your sure this is not stock-specific due to accounting irregularities or securities fraud class action, etc? If not, this suggests that market is under strain resulting in a breakdown of the typical black-scholes pricing model. Option market-makers simply do not want to be short puts, and...
  15. K

    Way away (now) from market trades not busted

    I never heard of globex stock index futures trades being busted. Not so long ago some DXY index futures trades got busted, when it got very out of alignment with it's currency basket. Read the rulebook if you really want to know, but imo there are much bigger risks.
  16. K

    Farmers Will Drive Ferraris, Not Bankers: Jim Rogers

    Jim rogers is a broken record: "buy commodities". Well, he seems to ignore the effects of backwardation roll on commodity investments, which is a severe drag to performance. He never mentions such costs in his book "Hot commodities", a severe omission. If roll costs are high enough, you can...
  17. K

    Market halt coming?

    This is all too reminiscent of the 2008 crash. If investors are twice burned, I would imagine the capital markets of 2015 will be very different from those of 2005. Lower liquidity, higher flotation costs, general stagnation or worse. There is only so much pain the longs can take before they...
  18. K

    Double dip recession + 2008 great recession = Depression?

    What people don't seem to be talking about, is the cumulative effect of having 2 back to back recessions on GDP. GDP still has still not recovered to pre-recession levels; I have read GDP is still >5% below pre-recession levels. If another recession strikes, even if it is not as severe as the...
  19. K

    Is the Sky Falling?

    The equity markets are managed by the govt in blatant and subvert ways. Blatant management: - Cutting fed funds target down to 0-0.25% from just over 5% interest rate causes the relative stock earnings yields to be worth more. - QE 1, & 2. Both of these events caused a rally, arguably to...
  20. K

    Is the Sky Falling?

    If there is a collapse, it will likely be even quicker than the 2008-09 drop. Equity investors aren't apt to repeat their recent mistakes by holding positions going into a recession. This correction has already been significantly swifter than normal.
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