Search results

  1. C

    Why did trend following work well in commodities in 1970s but lost effectiveness later?

    Agreed, and when you have inflation, you have a large increase across virtually all commodities, so it doesn't take special timing necessarily like it does to catch 1-2 markets.
  2. C

    Why did trend following work well in commodities in 1970s but lost effectiveness later?

    As bonecrusher stated earlier, it will be interesting to see if commodity trend following takes off again if there is high inflation or rising rates like we had in the 70's.
  3. C

    AAPL - Tim Cook - Not very innovative

    There really is only so far that Apple can go with phones and ipads
  4. C

    The Unified Theory of Markets by Earik Beann (AKA BIG BERTHA)

    Hawking a used book tells me all I need to know on the efficacy of the content.
  5. C

    Why did trend following work well in commodities in 1970s but lost effectiveness later?

    Agree with this. High inflation offers great opportunity to traders whereas disinflation is great for buy and hold stocks
  6. C

    Leveraging a Bond ETF on Interactive Brokers

    Use 1.9 leverage on HYD, which is a high yield muni etf. It tracks MUB reasonably closely but is far more volatile because it holds high yield muni bonds.
  7. C

    Solo or Self-Directed 401k question

    I would check with the broker to start with, but this is definitely worth a 15 min call to a CPA or tax attorney. It's not worth the risk of finding out 20-30 years from now that you have a big tax liability on your hands because you did something wrong. I would love to hear the answer when...
  8. C

    Forget cattle futures, Hillary is trading biotech puts

    Who knows, it could have been a low level staffer or the guy in charge of managing her twitter account. Regardless, the Clintons are corrupt from top to bottom, but most people don't care even though they claim to.
  9. C

    New research: Ban investment advice in the media

    So we are going to limit free speech and disallow the media to report freely? Sounds like a bad deal. Not that anyone will listen to it, but it's an absurd recommendation.
  10. C

    IB leveraged forex, uh what?

    SEC is trying to pass regulations to limit 3x ETF's too. My guess is it won't be long before futures are targeted as well.
  11. C

    Movie Theaters closing like mad - Hollywood in trouble?

    No doubt, the product they're putting out is crap.
  12. C

    Social Security's looming $32 trillion shortfall

    Seriously, no one cares. I think the only way you can force change is to wait until we're in a full blown crisis.
  13. C

    REITs and bad debt

    Wow. That's hilarious. I just watched their promo video and it took me a while to figure out if it was a spoof or real. Sadly, it's real.
  14. C

    REITs and bad debt

    I would not be surprised. Many of the same characters start multiple REITs. Like any thing else, if you can keep the best opportunities for yourself, and use OPM to fund average deals, while paying yourself a huge salary and expenses, why wouldn't you? That's human nature I guess.
  15. C

    REITS - what's the outlook ?

    Says who? Shiller price index is still 9% below it's 2006 highs, and the home ownership rate is now sitting at a 50 year lows. Inflation and wage growth appear to be ticking up. It might be bubbly in certain areas (Seattle, SF, etc) but overall, I think REIT's have room to go higher long term.
  16. C

    Is it really possible to feel the markets?

    "Feel" or "intuition" is probably just another way to describe someone who is able to very cerebrally interpret quantitative data such as price or price bars.
  17. C

    Steve Keen: Avoid the next financial crisis with People’s QE and a debt jubilee

    The problem with a debt jubilee is that for every liability, there is a corresponding asset offsetting that. I'm not sure rewarding debtors is necessarily a good thing, even though our current financial repression taking place is more or less a slow-drip attempt of just that (rewarding debtors).
  18. C

    does it EVER make sense to buy and hold a 3X bull ETF ?

    There have been academic studies that point to optimal leverage for buy & hold (equities) is closer to 1.7x-2x. Over that and you start to see increasingly diminished returns as leverage ramps up.
  19. C

    My goal is to make at least 30% per month

    If 76% pa is peanuts then why are you demo trading?
  20. C

    Trading very big money

    20% gold/silver/diamonds/rare art 20% stocks 20% real estate 30% treasuries 10% cash Rebalance every couple of years and spend it down. Why even trade?
Back
Top