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A favorably skewed distribution (i.e. larger wins than losses and/or greater number of wins than losses) can still be random...

3) There is only a limited "amount" of alpha out there to be captured.

Slightly negative-sum, because you have to pay commissions.

Yes, most people obviously think this will be just a minor dip, like the ones we have seen before. Actually, this type of complacency could foreshadow a major drop.

Thanks...

Is it possible / makes it sense to sign up after the course has already started? Unfortunately, I discovered this thread just 5 minutes ago...

Overnight equity index trading in Chicago ist actually open. So, if someone needs to hedge or close their positions... this is the time to do it.

Just received a mail from CME Group: "October 28, 2012 To Our Valued Customers, As a result of the securities industry decision to close US equities markets tomorrow because of Hurricane Sandy, CME Group will be closing its US equity futures and equity options on futures markets on the...

marketsurfer, emg and Jack H. should join and start a hedge fund. With their sophisticated market knowledge combined, it will be only be a matter of time until they own the world. :D

Exactly. It is a fact that the stock market, as measured by the S&P 500, on average actutally fared a lot better in the past under Democratic presidents than under Republican ones. One has to keep in mind that the S&P 500 are the 500 BIGGEST publicly listed companies in America. And...

The Ben Bernank. :D

Seems that Forbes magazine is now the new "Pravda"... :p

"So what we really ought to do is admit that Keynesian economics is just an excuse for easy money, overspending, and overconsuming. We ought to just admit that the government is a debt junkie. and the whole concept of deficit spending is flawed in practice. [...] The theory is fine, it just...

After all those years I've come up with an extremely simple rule of thumb: If someone draws more than only a few - say 3 to 4 max - lines on a chart, you can be pretty sure he/she has not the slightest clue about trading. :D

Seems that Mr. Ligi signed into the agreement thinking that the FTT = FTA (Financial Activity Tax) This is surreal. However, this is also good news because it means that Estonia is actually NOT backing an FTT.

Why? The ugly truth is that their is an almost pathological disregard for anything 'business' in Europe. This is maybe also one of the reasons that most politicians in Europe are either lawyers, teachers or - the worst of all - never held ANY real job outside of politics. Of the upcoming...

Thanks, good to hear that this issue will be resolved.

Some minor login problems in the last few days. According to the status messages in the TWS login window, login often fails on first and second try, but most of the time login can then be completed on the third try. Today, I couldn't login at all for a short time. Then I tried it on my...

So they ban shorting of futures but longs are still allowed? Yeah, right... :D It's those little details that make you wonder how well all those 'experts' know their stuff...

I'm experiencing some TWS login problems since Friday, April 30. When I try to login, the first 2 or 3 security codes get rejected as 'incorrect', the third or fourth one then works. I'm pretty sure that the reason for this are not typing errors, and the security device also seems to be ok...