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  1. dtrader98

    Star Trek lives

    I'd love to get Spock's input on TA.:D Not the reboot one mind you, but the original.
  2. dtrader98

    How would I analyze this?

    I assume you got a hold of the answer that was posted for free in the other thread where you posted the same question?
  3. dtrader98

    AAPL Vol & Skew Update Number #2

    Ok, that's understandable. Was just curious on seeing some more detailed studies or personal research to corroborate the intuitively obvious implications. Thanks for sharing your thoughts.
  4. dtrader98

    AAPL Vol & Skew Update Number #2

    Right. But how does that knowledge benefit one, other than superfluous information? For example, I might interpret the first chart you posted as a quick scalp to buy pre-earnings, yet the results weren't too great at all (news was great, price performance lackluster). I.e. other than...
  5. dtrader98

    AAPL Vol & Skew Update Number #2

    Thanks for sharing. I'm curious. Have you done any type of detailed research or can you point to studies or white papers, showing abnormal front month IV skew has strong correlation or predictability of direction up to exp date (or short periods within)? Is it correct to say that is the...
  6. dtrader98

    Aapl

    +1 At least they are making something tangible and useful, instead of packaging abstract financial garbage. You'd think people would appreciate that and be rooting for them.
  7. dtrader98

    backtesting using excel or anything else?

    I think this basically does what you want (closing data only). Are you familiar with VBA? It is a bit easier to do it that way.
  8. dtrader98

    Anyone playing around with AAPL options?

    I just tend to think all major indices would get bought up on a perceived good news lift and if it 'was' perceived as good, as you know volatility clusters, so expect large spike. Qs are easy to move by purchases in aapl; and appl would get a lift regardless, being largest component. Techs...
  9. dtrader98

    Anyone playing around with AAPL options?

    My suspicion is that the lackluster performance of aapl today had absolutely nothing to do with their results or tablet, but was a by product of the larger market which has a strong downward force at the moment. The uncertainty about Bernanke and other items is weighing negatively. If...
  10. dtrader98

    Why not just reduce taxes for poorer people

    Again, it's the details that count. I completely agree that taxes should be simplified. I've been through the pain in the blank nightmares for years and still hate it. We all know that it will never work that way, however, as transparency isn't in the interests of bureaucrats and the ultra wealthy.
  11. dtrader98

    Why not just reduce taxes for poorer people

    I was addressing the argument on unfair payroll taxes, and for some reason, depending on how you spin it, some seem to miss the details. I agree with some of the FairTax arguments, but the devil's always in the details. Which like everything else that seems to come our way, we never get to...
  12. dtrader98

    Why not just reduce taxes for poorer people

    Next time ask your congressman, why is it that social security tax taken out of payroll wages has a cap on it? And ask how him to explain how the following are equal? A)Effective tax on 106.8k or less ~ 6.00% B)Effective tax on million ~.066% C)100 million? ~ .007% D)100 million +...
  13. dtrader98

    Aapl

    I thought I read appl offered revenue and earnings above forecast. Now that's a surprise first. Usually they underestimate with great earnings. I find it hard to swallow that markets will dump on this, but pretty surprised at the lack of enthusiasm so far. If market dumps, I don't expect to...
  14. dtrader98

    VXX is unquestionably dysfunctional

    Just don't expect to wake up to a 1987 meltdown and hit the lottery if you have VXX. Imagine calling up to celebrate at the most expensive restaurant to celebrate your 50% one day drop and find that the VXX moved 5%.:D
  15. dtrader98

    Why not just reduce taxes for poorer people

    I thought bank execs did have a job.:D
  16. dtrader98

    I've been reading about volatility forecasting. All discussion relates to options.

    Good to hear. Hold off on the lin alg book. If you can get through an R stats book, you should be ok. Again, I'd suggest getting the benninga excel book to cover linear algebra (kill finance and lin alg in one stone)-- worth owning, or just pick up a lin alg book at a library. Cheers, dt
  17. dtrader98

    I've been reading about volatility forecasting. All discussion relates to options.

    There are many. If you are used to simple programming, I would suggest to jump start both your trading and update your skills by learning statistics through any introductory R book...
  18. dtrader98

    I've been reading about volatility forecasting. All discussion relates to options.

    The simplified version of calculus is you have two major functions introduced above prior math levels; the derivative and the integral. The derivative is a fancy way to measure rate of change of a curve, the integral is a fancy way to measure cumulative sums or area under a curve. What makes...
  19. dtrader98

    I've been reading about volatility forecasting. All discussion relates to options.

    If you are really that interested to learn about volatility and it's various uses, without having a background in calculus, might I suggest you go read a copy of "Volatility Trading," by E. Sinclair. Great read and tons of ways to utilize volatility. Calculus isn't something you'll pick up...
  20. dtrader98

    VXX is unquestionably dysfunctional

    Show a direct link or post what you are referring to. If you understand it, you shouldn't expect the charts to track, however, they are not that divergent (keep in mind you have to adjust for relative price levels). Here is a chart of how they track over the long run (normalized to start at...
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