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  1. R

    Buffett says US in 'economic Pearl Harbor'

    My comment was unwarrented. Just a little angry at people dissing Warren Buffett over a short term period, when he will make out like a mad man over the longer term, even if he bought a little high. No one saw the magnitude of the meltdown that we saw and October coming. Politically there was no...
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    Weekend reading: The Bush boom

    Kudlow is all about tax cuts. It's not surprising to me that he would endorse something like this. He loved the Bush tax cuts. The problem we are facing today is a mismanagement of monetary policy by the passing of the torch from AG to Bernanke. The Bernanke fed is a much different fed. It's...
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    Windows 7 Experiences

    Can you guys give a list of reasons why it's better? I keep hearing that it is better, but no one really gives details. Is it faster than Vista? Is the interface any different, if so, list some of the features. Is it less of a resource hog than Vista, or the same?
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    Any clue in '70s inflation?

    Another cause of inflation is a nation's currency falling in value against its major trading partners.
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    Any clue in '70s inflation?

    Oil shocks are the main cause of inflation. Oil is the true currency of the world economy. The only difference between this crisis and the 70's is that now oil rich nations have decided not to recycle their dollars back into the US financial system. There was a deal between OPEC in the 70's to...
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    Day Trading Thoughts For Mon. Jan. 12

    The equities market was severely overbought last week. Today I finally got an equalized signal in the advances to declines ratio. I would say, either we're due for the next leg of the run-up, or at least a stabilization/ bounce before the next major move. My personal opinion is that we will...
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    Ben Bernanke is a Huge Lunatic Paranoid Money Printer -MegaInflation Coming

    It's going to take this mega-printing just to offset the loss of paper wealth in the world we've seen in the past 2 years. Then, once things are re-flated to where they were, it will take another round of printing to create any new inflation. I think some of these hyperinflation fears come...
  8. R

    How can we have 30yr TBills at <3%

    The 30 year treasuries are the most liquid instrument in the world. You can sell at any time with any size without a problem. The buyers of these are not holding to maturity, they're just riding along with the quantitative easing policy, or just parking cash in a safe instrument until the storm...
  9. R

    Buy 30 year treasuries

    I closed TLT at 113.96 today. I'm still holding ZBH9 and am in the money.
  10. R

    Remember... Geed is Good!

    Spoken by a character who didn't care who he hurt to stay on top.
  11. R

    German Volkswagen short Billionaire commits suicide

    That short squeeze should have been broken by regulators. It was a couple day anomaly. If it is every investigated, there will be seen a predatory attack against the short sellers by many hedge funds colluding together. This is what is wrong with the current financial system.
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    Routing to island for a limit on open order doesn't always fill??

    Was your bid below the opening print? In order to get filled on an OPG order, you have to be within the envelope to get swept into the opening print.
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    Day Trading Thoughts For Tues. Jan. 6

    The last 2 days were filled with controlled selling. The major funds were propping the futures to sell into it. If you own equities, you should be selling too. It's not a time to buy.
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    Signing As Individual or LLC With A Prop Firm?

    Bright Trading. Pay above market commissions, have to get series 7 license to trade there. Unless you already know what you're doing, it's a waste of your time and money. But if you are a good trader, the best of both worlds. You get huge leverage, and an environment for prospering. Just don't...
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    fade or follow new highs/lows?

    The truth is, there is no way to predict the market by new highs or lows. The key is understanding the macroenvironment, monetary policy, and the current environment within the cyclical pattern. Different asset classes perform better in a determined environment.
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    Dilemma in modeling idiosyncratic high-frequency noise

    Engineers and mathematicians suck at trading. Move on to something that you will be able to utilitize your skills more efficiently. Don't over analyze the markets, which are full of noise.
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    I can predict the S&P eMinis

    A lot of threads are created for people to massage their battered egos. Others are created to educate fellow traders. This one seems to be the former rather than the latter.
  18. R

    Buy 30 year treasuries

    I added to my position in the etf tlt at 112 today. Trading assumes you will take drawdowns during the initial entry, but as always, trade around a core position. In this situation, with the federal reserve and world central banks in on it, you can be relatively sanguine in any drawdown. In...
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    Japan is on fire..global buying frenzy

    You can see the giddiness of investors. The market never changes. It goes between extremes of pessimism and optimism, but never in a straight line. I do believe the overall equities have put in a solid bottom, but I think that the market is severely overbought and is going to tank pretty hard...
  20. R

    Buy 30 year treasuries

    Time to get back into the 30 year. The yield is back above 3% today. The fed is going to watch Tuesday's 10 year auction to see how much firepower they need. By Wednesday, you'll see the 30 year yield back below 3. I have a target of around 2.7% on the yield, or about 139 on the futures. My...
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