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    The intraday is a casino

    Some helpful advice... It is important to understand that YOU, and ONLY YOU, took your children's bread and dipped your hand into a pool of sharks and pirahnas trying to catch a small fish. You are lucky you still have your hand.
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    I am done with Futures... going back to Forex

    The first sentence of the paper pretty much supports @schweiz viewpoint vs the 1 lot theory. Abstract This research discusses optimal limit order strategy for large institutional investors. Institutional investors are influential for the market...
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    ES Journal - 2017/2018

    6:30 EST They can't all stay green, somethings got to give by FOMC release.
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    I am done with Futures... going back to Forex

    Things are not always as they appear... An HFT will probe with a 1 lot because they don't want to run into a large iceberg with engines full speed ahead, but they are NOT 1 lot traders. I seriously doubt that retail 1 lot traders are probing to find out if the passive order they are hitting is...
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    The intraday is a casino

    Conclusion, don't trade like those 200 Hedge Funds.
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    Fedex

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    Removing the golden handcuffs

    Looking forward to it.
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    The intraday is a casino

    TTT, sometimes you are - no de mente sana.
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    The intraday is a casino

    Medium frequency robot working just fine with $3.60 rt retail commissions https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/what-do-your-ats-trade-patterns-look-like.326015/page-2#post-4744989
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    What do you think?

    If your system traded multiple times a day rather than just once a day you wouldn't necessarily need to test back so far. I.e if I have a system that trades 50 times a day and it tested well in June, July and August and also in October, November and December of this year and results were...
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    What do you think?

    Did you just keep adding indicators and clicking optimize till you got your equity curve? My feed back is in the title of the image. "Curve fit monster from hell"
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    What do you think?

    Vic, Post your trade statistics, you will get some more help.
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    ALGO chart patterns. Post TIMEFRAME/MKT and discussion

    Follow up article to the link above... http://www.nanex.net/aqck2/3525.html
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    Blowouts

    Conclusion? *More sophisticated robots battling each other *More spurts of volatility *More blowouts for some *More profits for others Market going to zero? Not going to happen.
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    ES Journal - 2017/2018

    Taxes on futures are much more favorable than stocks and simpler than options. Definitely enough to offset the contango on long term holds. I haven't traded stocks for 20 years so I don't know what brokers offer in terms of margin but I am guessing controlling 1 ES contract requires less funds...
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    ES Journal - 2017/2018

    Just an observation, B1S2 has already stated he is trading to the long side until price hits 2530. That is his model. Its the same as yesterday and will be the same tomorrow. Up day, down day, sideways day, its the same for him until we hit 2530. Some people can't seem to deal with his line in...
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    Technical Analysis During Volatility

    This is the biggest mistake - finding something that works for a couple of months and thinking it will work forever. It has nothing to do with technical analysis per se. It could just as easily be stated about price action or patterns. It really doesn't matter if one is using mathematical...
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    Diversified currency savings accounts.

    I remember a friend telling me about EverBank's foreign CD basket back around 2000 as a way to have some hedge against the dollar. It looks like they were bought out by TIAA. Back then I think the NZD was paying like 6% to 7% pa. I remember that you could pick and choose currencies but now it...
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    If in doubt...stay out.

    Here is IB's retail forex account performance for Q3. Doesn't mean anything because the % profitable this quarter can be the % unprofitable next quarter. https://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/index.php?f=3731
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    If in doubt...stay out.

    "Whenever there is any doubt, there is no doubt." If you doubt your system/method develop a new one.
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